KillsRisk
Line
34.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
34.42
Hit
47.5%
EV+
-17.7%
Edge
-0.1
L10
60%
HeadshotsBetter playRisk
Line
11
Pick
UNDER
Projection
10.6
Hit
48.5%
EV+
-16.1%
Edge
-0.4
L10
60%
#84Ranked 84 of 277 on the board

AWPer
sl3nd
INFINITE vs BRUTE
RISK · UNDER 11
BEST UNDER · SL 11.5PP11UD10.5SL11.5
▼ L5 8.8 · L20 11.3Risk · Edge -0.4 far below ±2.0
Hit rates at 11 (Under)
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Low
±3.63
Previous meeting · vs BRUTE
No meeting with BRUTE in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN
10.3
9/13 hit at 11
Online · this match
13.1
4/7 hit at 11
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm sl3nd is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 11
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 45.0%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Headshots · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Stays under with 10 HS or fewer (under ~34 kills at 32% HS): below 0.71 KPR over ~48 rounds. Main danger: overtime (14.4%) or long close maps add rounds.
Side
Under
Projection
10.6
Raw edge
-0.4
Cons. hit
48.5%
EV+
-16.1%
Rating
2.1/10
Exp. rounds
48.4
Line
11
Verdict
Risk
Plain model
48.5%
0 →
Learned
48.5%
what past results change
learning 0x
learning 0x
Same-line track record · Under 9-13
All players · Headshots
44.3%122 picks
This player
—0 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 51.7% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±2 (pref ±2.5)
- Edge -0.4 below ±2.0 minimum
- EV+ not positive at current payout
Sharp checks · 6/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 60.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 65.0% at this line
Game script fits · OT chance 14% (Unders hate OT)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (11.37) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 10.7 headshots vs line 11.0 (3/10 over). KPR 0.76, HS 32%. Next: vs BRUTE, Online.
Strongest: L10 average 10.7 against a 11.0 line
Biggest risk: High 2-0 sweep chance (72%) — fewer total rounds
- High 2-0 sweep chance (72%) — fewer total rounds
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 10.6 vs line 11 → -0.4 (-3.6%)
- • Form L5 80% · L10 60% under this line
- • Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
- • Expected 48.4 rounds · 2-0 72.5% · OT 14.4%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
17.68
HS/Map
5.65
K/D
1.19
KPR
0.76
ADR
81.8
KAST
69.6%
HS%
32%
Multi-kill
20.7%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Dust2)5.6 · KPR 0.719 · 24.5r
Map 2 (Ancient)5.7 · KPR 0.753 · 23.9r
Required KPR to clear0.71
Base kills (Maps 1-2)35.61
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-0.20%
Final projected kills35.54
× realistic HS% (32%)10.6
BRUTE gives up (32 series)-2.2% vs norm
Likely HS totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Under 11. Model: 51.7% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps17.1%
~9 HS · 41r71%
Normal52.1%
~10 HS · 47r54.1%
Close maps16.4%
~11 HS · 52r42.9%
Overtime14.4%
~13 HS · 58r29.7%
Match context
Oct 25, 03:00 PMOnlineNODWIN Clutch Series 13
Win chance source: Polymarket 48.5% · live
Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
Game scriptNeutral for Under — team 49% to win (ideal is 40% or lower).
M1 Dust2
24.5r
-5% KPR here
M2 Ancient
23.9r
Total
48.4r
2-0 sweep72.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)30.8%
Overtime14.4%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)17.1%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Dust2 / Ancient
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 11 (Under) · avg 10.7 · hit 6/10 · tap a bar
11
Nearby lines
| 9 Under | 29.3% | below BE |
| 10 Under | 37.8% | below BE |
| 11 Under | 48.5% | OFFERED |
| 12 Under | 56.5% | below BE |
| 13 Under | 62% |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 11
Line movement
first 11→11no change
- First seen11Oct 25, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Dust2
11 maps
Kills
17
KPR
0.71
HS%
35.3%
K/D
1.06
Ancient
9 maps
Kills
17.6
KPR
0.75
HS%
29.1%
K/D
1.2
Inferno
7 maps
Kills
17.7
KPR
0.86
HS%
29.8%
K/D
1.41
Mirage
5 maps
Kills
19.6
KPR
0.76
HS%
37.8%
K/D
1.14
Cache
4 maps
Kills
18.5
KPR
0.8
HS%
28.4%
K/D
1.19
Nuke
4 maps
Kills
16.5
KPR
0.77
HS%
28.8%
K/D
1.4
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Envy | 2 Ancient 8-13 | 5 Dust2 1-13 | 7 | L | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-20 | Eternal Fire | 2 Cache 1-13 | 5 Dust2 20-22 | 7 | L | Under ✓ | OTBO |
| 2026-10-09 | WBT | 4 Dust2 9-13 | 5 Ancient 6-13 | 9 | L | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-10-08 | G2 Ares | 2 Inferno 7-13 | 9 Ancient 14-16 | 11 | L | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-10-04 | SAW | 4 Nuke 9-13 | 6 Ancient 13-16 | 10 | L | Under ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-03 | Wildcard | 2 Inferno 13-11 | 10 Mirage 13-8 | 12 | W | Over ✗ | |
| 2026-10-03 | UNiTY | 8 Inferno 11-13 | 5 Mirage 7-13 | 13 | L | Over ✗ | |
| 2026-10-02 | SAW | 5 Cache 13-8 | 5 Ancient 13-8 | 10 | W | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-27 | RBLS | 3 Nuke 13-8 | 5 Ancient 13-8 | 8 | W | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-27 | Fluxo | 15 Mirage 20-22 | 5 Dust2 3-13 | 20 | L | Over ✗ | OTBO |
| 2026-09-26 | GenOne | 3 Dust2 11-13 | 6 Ancient 13-10 | 9 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-25 | NT | 5 Ancient 13-10 | 5 Dust2 19-16 | 10 | W | Under ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-25 | SAW | 6 Inferno 9-13 | 2 Dust2 10-13 | 8 | L | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-16 | Honvéd | 9 Inferno 5-13 | 15 Dust2 11-13 | 24 | L | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-07 | INOX Division | 3 Ancient 10-13 | 4 Nuke 10-13 | 7 | L | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-05 | QUAZAR | 5 Cache 13-9 | 4 Dust2 5-13 | 9 | Split | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-04 | Phantom | 6 Inferno 13-7 | 2 Mirage 13-10 | 8 | W | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-04 | Nuclear TigeRES | 4 Inferno 4-13 | 6 Dust2 13-9 | 10 | Split | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-03 | 3DMAX | 8 Nuke 7-13 | 9 Cache 16-19 | 17 | L | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2026-09-02 | Black Phoenix | 12 Dust2 13-11 | 5 Mirage 13-10 | 17 | W | Over ✗ |











































































































































































