CS2 LAB
V1.0
KillsBetter playLean
Line
32
Pick
UNDER
Projection
28.83
Hit
50.6%
EV+
-12.4%
Edge
-3.2
L10
70%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
19.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
19.26
Hit
43.6%
EV+
-24.5%
Edge
-0.2
L10
50%
HeCkBNk
Rifler
HeCkBNk
FORZE Reload vs ex-RUSTEC
51%HIT CHANCE
LEAN · UNDER 32
▲ L5 33.6 · L20 31.0
Hit rates at 32 (Under)
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
High
±12.42
Previous meeting · vs ex-RUSTEC
No meeting with ex-RUSTEC in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN
—
no series
Online · this match
31
13/20 hit at 32
Avg kills on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
  • Map veto (currently estimated)
  • Confirm HeCkBNk is in the starting five
  • Re-check line: PASS at 32
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 56.5%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Lean
What to watch · Stays under with 31 kills or fewer: below 0.741 KPR over ~43 rounds. Main danger: overtime (7.8%) or long close maps add rounds.
Side
Under
Projection
28.83
Raw edge
-3.2
Cons. hit
50.6%
EV+
-12.4%
Rating
1/10
Exp. rounds
43.2
Line
32
Verdict
Lean
Plain model
50.6%
0 →
Learned
50.6%
learning 0x
Same-line track record · Under 30-34
All players · Kills
46.7%244 picks
This player
33.3%3 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 60.1% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±3 (pref ±4)
  • EV+ not positive at current payout
  • High form volatility
  • Game script fits: team 56% to win (not a 55-64% favourite)
  • Under risk — team 56% to win; favourites win more rounds and their players usually get more kills.
Sharp checks · 4/5 active
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60%off · L10 70.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55%off · L20 65.0% at this line
Game script fits · team 56% to win (not a 55-64% favourite)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
L10 form (4/10 rule) · L10 7/10 at this line · projection 2.7 from his L10 avg
Projection = model only (the replay showed the last-5 blend didn't help)
Evidence & risk

Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 31.5 kills vs line 32.0 (3/10 over). KPR 0.76, HS 67%. Next: vs ex-RUSTEC, Online.

Strongest: L10 average 31.5 against a 32.0 line

  • Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
  • • Model 28.83 vs line 32 → -3.17 (-9.9%)
  • • Form L5 80% · L10 70% under this line
  • • Close match (45–65%) → +1.0 rounds/map (learned from 23 real matches) · kill rate −3% KPR
  • • Expected 43.2 rounds · 2-0 63.3% · OT 7.8%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
15.5
HS/Map
10.35
K/D
1.29
KPR
0.76
ADR
78.7
KAST
77.2%
HS%
66.8%
Multi-kill
17.8%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Dust2)13.6 · KPR 0.636 · 21.6r
Map 2 (Ancient)15.2 · KPR 0.708 · 21.6r
Required KPR to clear0.741
Base kills (Maps 1-2)29.02
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-0.68%
Final projected kills28.83
ex-RUSTEC gives up (53 series)+2.5% vs norm
Likely kills totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Under 32. Model: 60.1% before the safety haircut.
567891113151719212325272931333537394143454749515355575961line 32
Lopsided maps24.2%
~24 kills · 36r77.1%
Normal57.5%
~30 kills · 44r61%
Close maps10.5%
~31 kills · 46r56.9%
Overtime7.8%
~35 kills · 52r44.3%
Match context
Oct 25, 1:00 PM CTOnlineCCT Europe 2026 Series 12
HLTV #80VRS #78HLTV #112VRS #94
FORZE Reload 57%43% ex-RUSTEC
Win chance source: Polymarket 56.5%
Close match (45–65%) → +1.0 rounds/map (learned from 23 real matches) · kill rate −3% KPR
Heads upUnder risk — team 56% to win; favourites win more rounds and their players usually get more kills.
M1 Dust2
21.6r
-13% KPR here
M2 Ancient
21.6r
-4% KPR here
Total
43.2r
2-0 sweep63.3%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)18.3%
Overtime7.8%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)24.2%

2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way.

Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Dust2 / Ancient

Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 32 (Under) · avg 31.5 · hit 7/10 · tap a bar
32
Nearby lines
30 Under42.8%below BE
31 Under46.7%below BE
32 Under50.6%OFFERED
33 Under52.4%below BE
34 Under54.2%below BE
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 32
Line movement
first 32→offno change
  1. Pulled32
    Oct 25, 01:00 PM
  2. Back on board32 → 32
    Oct 25, 01:00 PM
  3. Pulled32
    Oct 25, 01:00 PM
  4. First seen32
    Oct 24, 09:22 PM
Map stats
Dust2
11 maps
Kills
12.8
KPR
0.63
HS%
63.8%
K/D
1.08
Cache
7 maps
Kills
17.6
KPR
0.92
HS%
68.3%
K/D
1.68
Ancient
7 maps
Kills
14.6
KPR
0.72
HS%
66.7%
K/D
1.21
Mirage
7 maps
Kills
17.3
KPR
0.77
HS%
64.5%
K/D
1.32
Anubis
6 maps
Kills
16
KPR
0.76
HS%
68.8%
K/D
1.25
Nuke
2 maps
Kills
18.5
KPR
0.79
HS%
75.7%
K/D
1.54
Recent Maps 1-2 results
DateOppMap 1Map 2TotalTeamPropFlags
2026-10-24Nuclear TigeRES23 Dust2 13-168 Anubis 4-1331LUnder ✓OTBO
2026-10-24Acend12 Ancient 6-137 Cache 4-1319LUnder ✓BO
2026-10-23Sökerorg13 Ancient 13-717 Dust2 13-730WUnder ✓
2026-10-22Rune Eaters12 Dust2 13-1015 Cache 13-527WUnder ✓BO
2026-10-22Just Players39 Mirage 19-1622 Cache 13-561WOver ✗OTBO
2026-10-20ex-Zero Tenacity9 Dust2 10-1327 Cache 13-1136SplitOver ✗
2026-10-19GenOne16 Cache 13-928 Anubis 16-1344WOver ✗OT
2026-10-18BAKS12 Dust2 13-615 Cache 13-027WUnder ✓BO
2026-10-17Black Phoenix12 Anubis 6-134 Dust2 0-1316LUnder ✓BO
2026-10-16Lavked17 Ancient 13-67 Dust2 13-524WUnder ✓BO
2026-10-14Sökerorg13 Mirage 13-1015 Dust2 13-628WUnder ✓
2026-10-14BET-M9 Dust2 13-1123 Anubis 13-1032WUnder ✗
2026-10-04Spirit Academy15 Mirage 13-810 Ancient 8-1325SplitUnder ✓
2026-10-03mellren18 Nuke 13-1013 Mirage 13-431WUnder ✓BO
2026-10-01Fire Flux10 Anubis 6-1319 Nuke 13-1129SplitUnder ✓
2026-09-26Banda Chuya15 Anubis 13-721 Cache 13-936WOver ✗
2026-09-07Nemesis17 Mirage 9-138 Ancient 6-1325LUnder ✓
2026-08-23MAYBE13 Dust2 13-310 Mirage 13-723WUnder ✓BO
2026-08-23Younglings17 Ancient 13-1020 Dust2 13-737WOver ✗
2026-08-20Younglings25 Ancient 13-814 Mirage 13-739WOver ✗
CS2 Lab is 21+

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