KillsRisk
Line
26.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
27.43
Hit
51.6%
EV+
-10.7%
Edge
+0.9
L10
40%
HeadshotsBetter playLean
Line
16
Pick
OVER
Projection
17.8
Hit
57.3%
EV+
-0.7%
Edge
+1.8
L10
40%
#146Ranked 146 of 277 on the board

Rifler
hfah
BRUTE vs INFINITE
RISK · OVER 26.5
SAME LINE ON ALL APPSPP26.5UD26.5
▲ L5 28.0 · L20 25.6Risk · Recent form (L5/L10) leans the other way +1
Hit rates at 26.5 (Over)
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Medium
±7.29
Previous meeting · vs INFINITE
No meeting with INFINITE in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN
24.4
6/13 hit at 26.5
Online · this match
27.9
4/7 hit at 26.5
Avg kills on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm hfah is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 26.5
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 55.0%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 27+ kills: 0.608 KPR over ~44 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (72.5%) or blowout (30.4%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
27.43
Raw edge
+0.9
Cons. hit
51.6%
EV+
-10.7%
Rating
1.4/10
Exp. rounds
43.6
Line
26.5
Verdict
Risk
Plain model
51.6%
+8.6 →
Learned
60.2%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Over 24.5-28.5
All players · Kills
56%273 picks
This player
—0 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 55% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±3 (pref ±4)
- Edge +0.9 below ±3.0 minimum
- Recent form (L5/L10) does not lean the same way
- EV+ not positive at current payout
- L10 hit rate ≥ 60%: L10 40.0% at this line
- L20 hit rate ≥ 55%: L20 50.0% at this line
- Game script fits: 2-0 sweep 72% (Overs need rounds)
Sharp checks · 3/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 40.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 50.0% at this line
Game script fits · 2-0 sweep 72% (Overs need rounds)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (27.18) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 25.0 kills vs line 26.5 (4/10 over). KPR 0.61, HS 63%. Next: vs INFINITE, Online.
Strongest: L10 average 25.0 against a 26.5 line
Biggest risk: High 2-0 sweep chance (72%) — fewer total rounds
- High 2-0 sweep chance (72%) — fewer total rounds
- 30% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 27.43 vs line 26.5 → +0.93 (3.5%)
- • Form L5 60% · L10 40% over this line
- • Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
- • Expected 43.6 rounds · 2-0 72.5% · OT 5.6%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
12.8
HS/Map
8.1
K/D
0.95
KPR
0.6
ADR
66.5
KAST
73.3%
HS%
63.3%
Multi-kill
10.9%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Anubis)14.9 · KPR 0.666 · 22.9r
Map 2 (Mirage)12.3 · KPR 0.605 · 20.7r
Required KPR to clear0.608
Base kills (Maps 1-2)27.77
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-2.15%
Final projected kills27.18
INFINITE gives up (70 series)+8.3% vs norm
Likely kills totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 26.5. Model: 55% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps30.4%
~23 kills · 37r27%
Normal51.3%
~29 kills · 46r62.1%
Close maps12.7%
~29 kills · 47r64.4%
Overtime5.6%
~33 kills · 53r81.7%
Match context
Oct 25, 03:00 PMOnlineNODWIN Clutch Series 13
Win chance source: Polymarket 55.0%
Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
Game scriptIdeal Over range — team 55% to win (40-70%), competitive maps expected.
M1 Anubis
22.9r
+10% KPR here
M2 Mirage
20.7r
Total
43.6r
2-0 sweep72.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)18.3%
Overtime5.6%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)30.4%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Anubis / Mirage
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 26.5 (Over) · avg 25.0 · hit 4/10 · tap a bar
26.5
Nearby lines
| 24.5 Over | 60.4% | |
| 25.5 Over | 56.5% | below BE |
| 26.5 Over | 51.6% | OFFERED |
| 27.5 Over | 46.3% | below BE |
| 28.5 Over | 43% | below BE |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 26.5
Line movement
first 26.5→26.5no change
- First seen26.5Oct 25, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Mirage
9 maps
Kills
11.6
KPR
0.6
HS%
57.7%
K/D
0.9
Anubis
9 maps
Kills
15.1
KPR
0.69
HS%
66.9%
K/D
1.08
Dust2
8 maps
Kills
11.8
KPR
0.58
HS%
66%
K/D
0.9
Cache
6 maps
Kills
13.7
KPR
0.63
HS%
62.2%
K/D
0.99
Nuke
4 maps
Kills
12.2
KPR
0.64
HS%
65.3%
K/D
0.82
Ancient
3 maps
Kills
11
KPR
0.55
HS%
60.6%
K/D
0.87
Inferno
1 maps
Kills
14
KPR
0.61
HS%
57.1%
K/D
1
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | overTIME | 14 Anubis 9-13 | 13 Cache 6-13 | 27 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-24 | STATE | 9 Anubis 3-13 | 7 Nuke 1-13 | 16 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-20 | los kogutos | 20 Anubis 13-10 | 22 Nuke 13-11 | 42 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-17 | los kogutos | 15 Ancient 13-6 | 14 Cache 13-4 | 29 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-26 | BRUTE | 13 Anubis 10-13 | 13 Mirage 10-13 | 26 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-26 | BRUTE | 15 Mirage 13-1 | 10 Dust2 13-5 | 25 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-25 | aimclub | 6 Mirage 6-13 | 11 Dust2 13-9 | 17 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-25 | BRUTE | 14 Inferno 10-13 | 15 Cache 16-12 | 29 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-21 | BRUTE | 10 Dust2 13-10 | 9 Mirage 13-7 | 19 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-20 | BRUTE | 10 Mirage 11-13 | 10 Ancient 9-13 | 20 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-17 | BRUTE | 18 Anubis 16-14 | 14 Mirage 13-8 | 32 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-15 | BRUTE | 8 Ancient 6-13 | 13 Cache 13-11 | 21 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-01 | PCIFIC | 17 Dust2 11-13 | 15 Anubis 13-8 | 32 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-08 | Nexus | 12 Cache 7-13 | 16 Anubis 9-13 | 28 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-08 | eSuba | 15 Anubis 13-8 | 12 Dust2 13-4 | 27 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-07 | BRUTE | 18 Mirage 13-4 | 15 Dust2 5-13 | 33 | Split | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-02 | 9INE | 7 Mirage 3-13 | 8 Nuke 3-13 | 15 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-08-02 | Acend | 9 Dust2 5-13 | 12 Mirage 13-5 | 21 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-08-02 | 9INE | 10 Dust2 13-10 | 15 Cache 13-9 | 25 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-07-28 | ASTRAL | 16 Anubis 13-7 | 12 Nuke 10-13 | 28 | Split | Over ✓ |








































































































































































