KillsRisk
Line
32.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
34.15
Hit
52.5%
EV+
-9.1%
Edge
+1.6
L10
50%
HeadshotsBetter playRisk
Line
17.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
18.4
Hit
53.3%
EV+
-7.7%
Edge
+0.9
L10
50%
#123Ranked 123 of 277 on the board

Rifler
latto
Legacy vs DENDELE
RISK · OVER 17.5
BEST OVER · SL 16.5PP17.5UD17.5SL16.5
▲ L5 19.4 · L20 17.7Risk · Edge +0.9 far below ±2.0
Hit rates at 17.5 (Over)
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Medium
±5.46
Previous meeting · vs DENDELE
No meeting with DENDELE in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
17.7
9/20 hit at 17.5
Online
—
no series
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm latto is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 17.5
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 72.5%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Headshots · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 18+ HS (~33 kills at 54% HS): 0.777 KPR over ~42 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (57.5%) or blowout (22.3%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
18.4
Raw edge
+0.9
Cons. hit
53.3%
EV+
-7.7%
Rating
4/10
Exp. rounds
41.7
Line
17.5
Verdict
Risk
Plain model
53.3%
+8.5 →
Learned
61.8%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Over 15.5-19.5
All players · Headshots
59.3%204 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 56.5% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±2 (pref ±2.5)
- Edge +0.9 below ±2.0 minimum
- EV+ not positive at current payout
- L10 hit rate ≥ 60%: L10 50.0% at this line
- L20 hit rate ≥ 55%: L20 45.0% at this line
- Blowout win risk — team 72% to win. A 13-3 stomp means fewer rounds to farm kills; still playable.
Sharp checks · 4/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 50.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 45.0% at this line
Game script fits · 2-0 sweep 57% (Overs need rounds)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (17.97) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 18.3 headshots vs line 17.5 (5/10 over). KPR 0.74, HS 54%. Next: vs DENDELE, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 18.3 against a 17.5 line
Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
PARTIAL
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 18.4 vs line 17.5 → +0.9 (5.1%)
- • Form L5 40% · L10 50% over this line
- • Heavy favourite (≥70%) → shorter maps (−1.5/map) but easier kills (+8% KPR)
- • Expected 41.7 rounds · 2-0 57.5% · OT 10%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
16.38
HS/Map
8.85
K/D
1.22
KPR
0.74
ADR
82.3
KAST
75.2%
HS%
54%
Multi-kill
21.4%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Ancient)9.6 · KPR 0.822 · 21.8r
Map 2 (Dust2)8.4 · KPR 0.782 · 19.9r
Required KPR to clear0.777
Base kills (Maps 1-2)33.48
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-0.61%
Final projected kills33.27
× realistic HS% (54%)18.4
DENDELE gives up (26 series)+6% vs norm
Likely HS totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 17.5. Model: 56.5% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps22.3%
~16 HS · 35r31.2%
Normal51%
~19 HS · 42r55.4%
Close maps16.7%
~20 HS · 45r64.3%
Overtime10%
~22 HS · 51r80.2%
Match context
Oct 25, 05:00 PMLANPGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Win chance source: Polymarket 72.5%
Heavy favourite (≥70%) → shorter maps (−1.5/map) but easier kills (+8% KPR)
Heads upBlowout win risk — team 72% to win. A 13-3 stomp means fewer rounds to farm kills; still playable.
M1 Ancient
21.8r
+3% KPR here
M2 Dust2
19.9r
-2% KPR here
Total
41.7r
2-0 sweep57.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)26.7%
Overtime10%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)22.3%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Ancient / Dust2
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 17.5 (Over) · avg 18.3 · hit 5/10 · tap a bar
17.5
Nearby lines
| 15.5 Over | 63.5% | |
| 16.5 Over | 57.1% | below BE |
| 17.5 Over | 53.3% | OFFERED |
| 18.5 Over | 47% | below BE |
| 19.5 Over | 42.6% | below BE |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 17.5
Line movement
first 17.5→17.5no change
- First seen17.5Oct 25, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Ancient
11 maps
Kills
18.3
KPR
0.77
HS%
51.2%
K/D
1.36
Dust2
10 maps
Kills
15.4
KPR
0.72
HS%
57.1%
K/D
1.12
Mirage
8 maps
Kills
17.2
KPR
0.77
HS%
55.8%
K/D
1.3
Nuke
5 maps
Kills
18.2
KPR
0.73
HS%
51.6%
K/D
1.34
Inferno
4 maps
Kills
11.5
KPR
0.64
HS%
60.9%
K/D
0.98
Cache
2 maps
Kills
12.5
KPR
0.62
HS%
44%
K/D
0.86
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Nemiga | 23 Ancient 23-25 | 9 Dust2 8-13 | 32 | L | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-16 | BetBoom | 10 Nuke 13-16 | 10 Dust2 13-11 | 20 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-15 | FURIA | 9 Cache 13-10 | 7 Inferno 5-13 | 16 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-14 | PARIVISION | 10 Dust2 13-11 | 6 Mirage 16-14 | 16 | W | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-10-06 | M80 | 2 Cache 4-13 | 11 Mirage 13-9 | 13 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-05 | 1win | 6 Dust2 8-13 | 12 Ancient 8-13 | 18 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-04 | ShindeN | 10 Nuke 13-8 | 10 Mirage 13-11 | 20 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-03 | PARIVISION | 9 Dust2 13-5 | 2 Inferno 2-13 | 11 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-13 | G2 | 7 Ancient 13-9 | 14 Mirage 13-10 | 21 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-12 | MIBR | 8 Nuke 13-10 | 8 Ancient 11-13 | 16 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-10 | FURIA | 10 Mirage 13-7 | 12 Ancient 13-9 | 22 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-09 | Alliance | 11 Inferno 13-4 | 10 Dust2 13-6 | 21 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-08 | magic | 6 Ancient 13-7 | 9 Dust2 7-13 | 15 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-30 | Vitality | 15 Nuke 14-16 | 11 Mirage 13-9 | 26 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-08-29 | Falcons | 7 Mirage 6-13 | 6 Ancient 13-10 | 13 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-27 | FUT | 9 Ancient 13-10 | 10 Dust2 13-11 | 19 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-23 | FURIA | 9 Ancient 9-13 | 4 Nuke 13-9 | 13 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-22 | Spirit | 7 Dust2 7-13 | 8 Ancient 9-13 | 15 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-21 | Falcons | 8 Mirage 13-7 | 8 Dust2 13-10 | 16 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-20 | Natus Vincere | 8 Inferno 13-9 | 3 Ancient 13-2 | 11 | W | Under ✗ | BO |








































































































































































