KillsBetter playNeutral
Line
32
Pick
OVER
Projection
35.54
Hit
52.7%
EV+
-8.6%
Edge
+3.5
L10
40%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
11
Pick
OVER
Projection
11.43
Hit
52.2%
EV+
-9.6%
Edge
+0.4
L10
50%
#140Ranked 140 of 277 on the board

AWPer
try
Legacy vs DENDELE
RISK · OVER 11
BEST OVER · UD 10.5PP11UD10.5SL10.5
≈ L5 11.2 · L20 11.6Risk · Recent form (L5/L10) leans the other way +1
Hit rates at 11 (Over)
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
50%
10/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Low
±3.72
Previous meeting · vs DENDELE
No meeting with DENDELE in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
11.6
10/20 hit at 11
Online
—
no series
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm try is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 11
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 72.5%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Headshots · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 12+ HS (~35 kills at 34.2% HS): 0.771 KPR over ~42 rounds. His Kills line is 32: backing Kills Over needs ~3 fewer kills, usually the easier play. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (57.5%) or blowout (22.3%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
11.43
Raw edge
+0.4
Cons. hit
52.2%
EV+
-9.6%
Rating
1.3/10
Exp. rounds
41.7
Line
11
Verdict
Risk
Plain model
52.2%
+8.6 →
Learned
60.8%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Over 9-13
All players · Headshots
58.7%104 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 54.6% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±2 (pref ±2.5)
- Edge +0.4 below ±2.0 minimum
- Recent form (L5/L10) does not lean the same way
- EV+ not positive at current payout
- L10 hit rate ≥ 60%: L10 50.0% at this line
- L20 hit rate ≥ 55%: L20 50.0% at this line
- Blowout win risk — team 72% to win. A 13-3 stomp means fewer rounds to farm kills; still playable.
Sharp checks · 4/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 50.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 50.0% at this line
Game script fits · 2-0 sweep 57% (Overs need rounds)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (11.53) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 10.5 headshots vs line 11.0 (5/10 over). KPR 0.72, HS 34%. Next: vs DENDELE, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 10.5 against a 11.0 line
Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 11.43 vs line 11 → +0.43 (3.9%)
- • Form L5 60% · L10 50% over this line
- • Heavy favourite (≥70%) → shorter maps (−1.5/map) but easier kills (+8% KPR)
- • Expected 41.7 rounds · 2-0 57.5% · OT 10%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
16.98
HS/Map
5.8
K/D
1.29
KPR
0.72
ADR
73.8
KAST
71.6%
HS%
34.2%
Multi-kill
17.5%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Ancient)5.9 · KPR 0.794 · 21.8r
Map 2 (Dust2)5.6 · KPR 0.835 · 19.9r
Required KPR to clear0.771
Base kills (Maps 1-2)33.92
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-0.61%
Final projected kills33.71
× realistic HS% (34.2%)11.43
DENDELE gives up (26 series)+6% vs norm
Likely HS totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 11. Model: 54.6% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps22.3%
~10 HS · 35r26.5%
Normal51%
~12 HS · 42r47.7%
Close maps16.7%
~12 HS · 45r55.9%
Overtime10%
~14 HS · 51r71.9%
Match context
Oct 25, 05:00 PMLANPGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Win chance source: Polymarket 72.5%
Heavy favourite (≥70%) → shorter maps (−1.5/map) but easier kills (+8% KPR)
Heads upBlowout win risk — team 72% to win. A 13-3 stomp means fewer rounds to farm kills; still playable.
M1 Ancient
21.8r
+3% KPR here
M2 Dust2
19.9r
+8% KPR here
Total
41.7r
2-0 sweep57.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)26.7%
Overtime10%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)22.3%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Ancient / Dust2
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 11 (Over) · avg 10.5 · hit 5/10 · tap a bar
11
Nearby lines
| 9 Over | 62.8% | |
| 10 Over | 57.8% | |
| 11 Over | 52.2% | OFFERED |
| 12 Over | 41.8% | below BE |
| 13 Over | 35.6% | below BE |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 11
Line movement
first 11→11no change
- First seen11Oct 25, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Ancient
11 maps
Kills
17.6
KPR
0.74
HS%
32.5%
K/D
1.25
Dust2
10 maps
Kills
16.9
KPR
0.79
HS%
35.5%
K/D
1.34
Mirage
8 maps
Kills
16.6
KPR
0.74
HS%
33.1%
K/D
1.29
Nuke
5 maps
Kills
21
KPR
0.84
HS%
32.4%
K/D
1.44
Inferno
4 maps
Kills
13.2
KPR
0.74
HS%
43.4%
K/D
1.08
Cache
2 maps
Kills
12.5
KPR
0.62
HS%
32%
K/D
1.19
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Nemiga | 8 Ancient 23-25 | 6 Dust2 8-13 | 14 | L | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-16 | BetBoom | 10 Nuke 13-16 | 4 Dust2 13-11 | 14 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-15 | FURIA | 4 Cache 13-10 | 2 Inferno 5-13 | 6 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-14 | PARIVISION | 5 Dust2 13-11 | 7 Mirage 16-14 | 12 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-06 | M80 | 4 Cache 4-13 | 6 Mirage 13-9 | 10 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-05 | 1win | 4 Dust2 8-13 | 2 Ancient 8-13 | 6 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-04 | ShindeN | 6 Nuke 13-8 | 11 Mirage 13-11 | 17 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-03 | PARIVISION | 6 Dust2 13-5 | 2 Inferno 2-13 | 8 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-13 | G2 | 3 Ancient 13-9 | 3 Mirage 13-10 | 6 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-12 | MIBR | 6 Nuke 13-10 | 6 Ancient 11-13 | 12 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-10 | FURIA | 5 Mirage 13-7 | 3 Ancient 13-9 | 8 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-09 | Alliance | 11 Inferno 13-4 | 4 Dust2 13-6 | 15 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-08 | magic | 8 Ancient 13-7 | 6 Dust2 7-13 | 14 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-30 | Vitality | 3 Nuke 14-16 | 4 Mirage 13-9 | 7 | Split | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-08-29 | Falcons | 2 Mirage 6-13 | 7 Ancient 13-10 | 9 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-27 | FUT | 8 Ancient 13-10 | 7 Dust2 13-11 | 15 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-23 | FURIA | 11 Ancient 9-13 | 9 Nuke 13-9 | 20 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-22 | Spirit | 6 Dust2 7-13 | 4 Ancient 9-13 | 10 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-21 | Falcons | 6 Mirage 13-7 | 12 Dust2 13-10 | 18 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-20 | Natus Vincere | 8 Inferno 13-9 | 3 Ancient 13-2 | 11 | W | Under ✗ | BO |








































































































































































