KillsBetter playPlayable
Line
24.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
28.42
Hit
64.4%
EV+
+11.5%
Edge
+3.9
L10
60%
HeadshotsLean
Line
12.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
14.05
Hit
60.1%
EV+
+4.1%
Edge
+1.6
L10
50%

Rifler
skcH
ex-6666 vs FOKUS
PLAYABLE · OVER 24.5
≈ L5 26.8 · L20 27.0
Hit rates at 24.5 (Over)
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
65%
13/20
H2H
0%
0/1
Volatility
Low
±4.96
Previous meeting · vs FOKUS
0/1 hit · avg 20 kills on Maps 1-2
2026-10-24 · NODWIN Clutch Series 13
Ancient 3-13 · Nuke 13-16 · L
20
Under 24.5 ✗
LAN vs online form
LAN
—
no series
Online · this match
27
13/20 hit at 24.5
Avg kills on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm skcH is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 25.5
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match schedule
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Playable
What to watch · Needs 25+ kills: 0.544 KPR over ~45 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (50%) or blowout (22.2%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
28.42
Raw edge
+3.9
Cons. hit
64.4%
EV+
+11.5%
Rating
9/10
Exp. rounds
45
Line
24.5
Verdict
Playable
Plain model
64.4%
+5.8 →
Learned
70.2%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Over 22.5-26.5
All players · Kills
58.7%138 picks
This player
33.3%3 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 78.5% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±3 (pref ±4)
Clears edge, form, EV+, volatility and every sharp check
Sharp checks · 6/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 60.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 65.0% at this line
Game script fits · 2-0 sweep 50% (Overs need rounds)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (29.12) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 27.3 kills vs line 24.5 (6/10 over). KPR 0.62, HS 49%. Next: vs FOKUS, LAN/Online unknown.
Strongest: L10 average 27.3 against a 24.5 line
Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
TAKE OVER
Value
VALUE
- • Model 28.42 vs line 24.5 → +3.92 (16.0%)
- • Form L5 40% · L10 60% over this line
- • Win chance unknown — no favourite adjustment
- • Expected 45 rounds · 2-0 50% · OT 14.4%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
13.5
HS/Map
6.6
K/D
0.92
KPR
0.62
ADR
67.3
KAST
74.4%
HS%
48.9%
Multi-kill
15.5%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Anubis)13.9 · KPR 0.66 · 21r
Map 2 (Nuke)15.2 · KPR 0.635 · 24r
Required KPR to clear0.544
Base kills (Maps 1-2)29.1
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.+0.06%
Final projected kills29.12
FOKUS gives up (48 series)+2.2% vs norm
Likely kills totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 24.5. Model: 78.5% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps22.2%
~24 kills · 38r43.6%
Normal38.6%
~28 kills · 44r71%
Close maps24.8%
~30 kills · 48r85.3%
Overtime14.4%
~34 kills · 54r95.3%
Match context
Oct 24, 08:00 AMOnline
Win chance source: —
Win chance unknown — no favourite adjustment
M1 Anubis
21r
+6% KPR here
M2 Nuke
24r
+2% KPR here
Total
45r
2-0 sweep50%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)39.2%
Overtime14.4%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)22.2%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Anubis / Nuke
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 24.5 (Over) · avg 27.3 · hit 6/10 · tap a bar
24.5
Nearby lines
| 22.5 Over | 67% | |
| 23.5 Over | 66.3% | |
| 24.5 Over | 64.4% | OFFERED |
| 25.5 Over | 62.7% | |
| 26.5 Over | 58.8% |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 25.5
Line movement
first 24.5→offno change
- Pulled23.5Oct 24, 08:00 AM
- Moved down24.5 → 23.5Oct 24, 02:45 AM
- First seen24.5Oct 24, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Anubis
9 maps
Kills
14
KPR
0.67
HS%
51.6%
K/D
1.11
Nuke
8 maps
Kills
16
KPR
0.64
HS%
44.5%
K/D
0.97
Dust2
8 maps
Kills
10.4
KPR
0.54
HS%
47%
K/D
0.75
Ancient
6 maps
Kills
13.3
KPR
0.65
HS%
52.5%
K/D
1.01
Inferno
5 maps
Kills
13
KPR
0.51
HS%
50.8%
K/D
0.76
Mirage
4 maps
Kills
14.5
KPR
0.65
HS%
48.3%
K/D
0.88
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | FOKUS | 5 Ancient 3-13 | 15 Nuke 13-16 | 20 | L | Under ✗ | OTBO |
| 2026-10-22 | 6yuBoJlbl | 15 Mirage 11-13 | 14 Nuke 13-10 | 29 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-22 | Acend | 10 Dust2 6-13 | 13 Inferno 14-16 | 23 | L | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-10-22 | Bushido Wildcats | 18 Anubis 13-4 | 20 Inferno 13-9 | 38 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-21 | Saint Sinners | 11 Dust2 13-5 | 13 Ancient 13-7 | 24 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-21 | BRUTE | 10 Anubis 8-13 | 18 Mirage 11-13 | 28 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-20 | Lavked | 12 Nuke 13-8 | 12 Dust2 10-13 | 24 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-20 | los kogutos | 13 Anubis 10-13 | 15 Nuke 11-13 | 28 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-19 | Fire Flux | 15 Nuke 13-10 | 11 Inferno 10-13 | 26 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-18 | Privateer | 16 Ancient 13-5 | 17 Nuke 13-9 | 33 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-17 | G2 Ares | 7 Inferno 13-11 | 13 Dust2 13-2 | 20 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-16 | mellren | 5 Dust2 4-13 | 18 Ancient 13-11 | 23 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-15 | Enjoy | 23 Anubis 10-13 | 16 Ancient 13-10 | 39 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-15 | Bushido Wildcats | 11 Dust2 13-9 | 14 Anubis 13-5 | 25 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-14 | los kogutos | 24 Nuke 16-14 | 10 Mirage 9-13 | 34 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-14 | GenOne | 12 Ancient 9-13 | 14 Inferno 16-12 | 26 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-13 | Black Phoenix | 6 Dust2 4-13 | 11 Anubis 8-13 | 17 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-12 | megoshort | 15 Mirage 13-6 | 15 Anubis 16-13 | 30 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-11 | benched gods | 12 Anubis 3-13 | 15 Dust2 13-9 | 27 | Split | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-10 | Bebop | 10 Anubis 13-6 | 16 Nuke 16-12 | 26 | W | Over ✓ | OT |








































































































































































