KillsRisk
Line
26.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
27.43
Hit
51.6%
EV+
-10.7%
Edge
+0.9
L10
40%
HeadshotsBetter playLean
Line
16
Pick
OVER
Projection
17.8
Hit
57.3%
EV+
-0.7%
Edge
+1.8
L10
40%
#61Ranked 61 of 277 on the board

Rifler
hfah
BRUTE vs INFINITE
LEAN · OVER 16
BEST OVER · PP 16PP16UD16.5
▲ L5 19.2 · L20 16.2
Hit rates at 16 (Over)
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
35%
7/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Medium
±5.04
Previous meeting · vs INFINITE
No meeting with INFINITE in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN
15.9
4/13 hit at 16
Online · this match
16.7
3/7 hit at 16
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm hfah is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 16
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 55.0%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Headshots · Maps 1-2Lean
What to watch · Needs 17+ HS (~27 kills at 63.3% HS): 0.58 KPR over ~44 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (72.5%) or blowout (30.4%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
17.8
Raw edge
+1.8
Cons. hit
57.3%
EV+
-0.7%
Rating
5.5/10
Exp. rounds
43.6
Line
16
Verdict
Lean
Plain model
57.3%
+8.3 →
Learned
65.6%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Over 14-18
All players · Headshots
59%234 picks
This player
—0 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 64% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±2 (pref ±2.5)
- Edge +1.8 below ±2.0 minimum
- EV+ not positive at current payout
- L10 hit rate ≥ 60%: L10 40.0% at this line
- L20 hit rate ≥ 55%: L20 35.0% at this line
- Game script fits: 2-0 sweep 72% (Overs need rounds)
Sharp checks · 3/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 40.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 35.0% at this line
Game script fits · 2-0 sweep 72% (Overs need rounds)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (17.2) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 16.4 headshots vs line 16.0 (4/10 over). KPR 0.61, HS 63%. Next: vs INFINITE, Online.
Strongest: L10 average 16.4 against a 16.0 line
Biggest risk: High 2-0 sweep chance (72%) — fewer total rounds
- High 2-0 sweep chance (72%) — fewer total rounds
- 30% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
PARTIAL
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 17.8 vs line 16 → +1.8 (11.3%)
- • Form L5 60% · L10 40% over this line
- • Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
- • Expected 43.6 rounds · 2-0 72.5% · OT 5.6%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
12.8
HS/Map
8.1
K/D
0.95
KPR
0.6
ADR
66.5
KAST
73.3%
HS%
63.3%
Multi-kill
10.9%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Anubis)9.4 · KPR 0.666 · 22.9r
Map 2 (Mirage)7.8 · KPR 0.605 · 20.7r
Required KPR to clear0.58
Base kills (Maps 1-2)27.77
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-2.15%
Final projected kills27.18
× realistic HS% (63.3%)17.8
INFINITE gives up (70 series)+4.3% vs norm
Likely HS totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 16. Model: 64% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps30.4%
~15 HS · 37r34%
Normal51.3%
~19 HS · 46r67%
Close maps12.7%
~19 HS · 47r69%
Overtime5.6%
~22 HS · 53r83.7%
Match context
Oct 25, 03:00 PMOnlineNODWIN Clutch Series 13
Win chance source: Polymarket 55.0%
Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
Game scriptIdeal Over range — team 55% to win (40-70%), competitive maps expected.
M1 Anubis
22.9r
+10% KPR here
M2 Mirage
20.7r
Total
43.6r
2-0 sweep72.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)18.3%
Overtime5.6%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)30.4%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Anubis / Mirage
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 16 (Over) · avg 16.4 · hit 4/10 · tap a bar
16
Nearby lines
| 14 Over | 63.7% | |
| 15 Over | 61.8% | |
| 16 Over | 57.3% | OFFERED |
| 17 Over | 53.2% | below BE |
| 18 Over | 46.5% | below BE |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 16
Line movement
first 16→16no change
- First seen16Oct 25, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Mirage
9 maps
Kills
11.6
KPR
0.6
HS%
57.7%
K/D
0.9
Anubis
9 maps
Kills
15.1
KPR
0.69
HS%
66.9%
K/D
1.08
Dust2
8 maps
Kills
11.8
KPR
0.58
HS%
66%
K/D
0.9
Cache
6 maps
Kills
13.7
KPR
0.63
HS%
62.2%
K/D
0.99
Nuke
4 maps
Kills
12.2
KPR
0.64
HS%
65.3%
K/D
0.82
Ancient
3 maps
Kills
11
KPR
0.55
HS%
60.6%
K/D
0.87
Inferno
1 maps
Kills
14
KPR
0.61
HS%
57.1%
K/D
1
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | overTIME | 10 Anubis 9-13 | 10 Cache 6-13 | 20 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-24 | STATE | 7 Anubis 3-13 | 5 Nuke 1-13 | 12 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-20 | los kogutos | 14 Anubis 13-10 | 14 Nuke 13-11 | 28 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-17 | los kogutos | 10 Ancient 13-6 | 10 Cache 13-4 | 20 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-26 | BRUTE | 8 Anubis 10-13 | 8 Mirage 10-13 | 16 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-26 | BRUTE | 6 Mirage 13-1 | 8 Dust2 13-5 | 14 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-25 | aimclub | 4 Mirage 6-13 | 10 Dust2 13-9 | 14 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-25 | BRUTE | 8 Inferno 10-13 | 10 Cache 16-12 | 18 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-21 | BRUTE | 4 Dust2 13-10 | 6 Mirage 13-7 | 10 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-20 | BRUTE | 5 Mirage 11-13 | 7 Ancient 9-13 | 12 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-17 | BRUTE | 12 Anubis 16-14 | 7 Mirage 13-8 | 19 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-15 | BRUTE | 3 Ancient 6-13 | 9 Cache 13-11 | 12 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-01 | PCIFIC | 7 Dust2 11-13 | 9 Anubis 13-8 | 16 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-08 | Nexus | 7 Cache 7-13 | 13 Anubis 9-13 | 20 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-08 | eSuba | 9 Anubis 13-8 | 12 Dust2 13-4 | 21 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-07 | BRUTE | 8 Mirage 13-4 | 7 Dust2 5-13 | 15 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-08-02 | 9INE | 6 Mirage 3-13 | 6 Nuke 3-13 | 12 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-08-02 | Acend | 6 Dust2 5-13 | 10 Mirage 13-5 | 16 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-08-02 | 9INE | 8 Dust2 13-10 | 5 Cache 13-9 | 13 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-07-28 | ASTRAL | 9 Anubis 13-7 | 7 Nuke 10-13 | 16 | Split | Under ✗ |








































































































































































