KillsBetter playNeutral
Line
32
Pick
OVER
Projection
35.54
Hit
52.7%
EV+
-8.6%
Edge
+3.5
L10
40%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
11
Pick
OVER
Projection
11.43
Hit
52.2%
EV+
-9.6%
Edge
+0.4
L10
50%

AWPer
try
Legacy vs DENDELE
NEUTRAL · OVER 32
BEST OVER · UD 31.5PP32UD31.5SL31.5
▲ L5 39.8 · L20 34.0
Hit rates at 32 (Over)
L5
60%
3/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
50%
10/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
High
±13.44
Previous meeting · vs DENDELE
No meeting with DENDELE in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
34
10/20 hit at 32
Online
—
no series
Avg kills on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm try is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 32
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 72.5%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Neutral
What to watch · Needs 33+ kills: 0.767 KPR over ~42 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (57.5%) or blowout (22.3%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
35.54
Raw edge
+3.5
Cons. hit
52.7%
EV+
-8.6%
Rating
3/10
Exp. rounds
41.7
Line
32
Verdict
Neutral
Plain model
52.7%
+8.6 →
Learned
61.3%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Over 30-34
All players · Kills
56.9%144 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 60.4% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±3 (pref ±4)
- EV+ not positive at current payout
- High form volatility
- L10 hit rate ≥ 60%: L10 40.0% at this line
- L20 hit rate ≥ 55%: L20 50.0% at this line
- Blowout win risk — team 72% to win. A 13-3 stomp means fewer rounds to farm kills; still playable.
Sharp checks · 4/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 40.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 50.0% at this line
Game script fits · 2-0 sweep 57% (Overs need rounds)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (33.71) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 33.5 kills vs line 32.0 (4/10 over). KPR 0.72, HS 34%. Next: vs DENDELE, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 33.5 against a 32.0 line
Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
PARTIAL
The call
SMALL EDGE ONLY
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 35.54 vs line 32 → +3.54 (11.1%)
- • Form L5 60% · L10 40% over this line
- • Heavy favourite (≥70%) → shorter maps (−1.5/map) but easier kills (+8% KPR)
- • Expected 41.7 rounds · 2-0 57.5% · OT 10%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
16.98
HS/Map
5.8
K/D
1.29
KPR
0.72
ADR
73.8
KAST
71.6%
HS%
34.2%
Multi-kill
17.5%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Ancient)17.2 · KPR 0.794 · 21.8r
Map 2 (Dust2)16.5 · KPR 0.835 · 19.9r
Required KPR to clear0.767
Base kills (Maps 1-2)33.92
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-0.61%
Final projected kills33.71
DENDELE gives up (26 series)+5.2% vs norm
Likely kills totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 32. Model: 60.4% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps22.3%
~30 kills · 35r36.9%
Normal51%
~36 kills · 42r55.8%
Close maps16.7%
~38 kills · 45r62.8%
Overtime10%
~43 kills · 51r76.1%
Match context
Oct 25, 05:00 PMLANPGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Win chance source: Polymarket 72.5%
Heavy favourite (≥70%) → shorter maps (−1.5/map) but easier kills (+8% KPR)
Heads upBlowout win risk — team 72% to win. A 13-3 stomp means fewer rounds to farm kills; still playable.
M1 Ancient
21.8r
+3% KPR here
M2 Dust2
19.9r
+8% KPR here
Total
41.7r
2-0 sweep57.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)26.7%
Overtime10%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)22.3%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Ancient / Dust2
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 32 (Over) · avg 33.5 · hit 4/10 · tap a bar
32
Nearby lines
| 30 Over | 55.9% | below BE |
| 31 Over | 54.4% | below BE |
| 32 Over | 52.7% | OFFERED |
| 33 Over | 51% | below BE |
| 34 Over | 49.3% | below BE |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 32
Line movement
first 32→32no change
- First seen32Oct 25, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Ancient
11 maps
Kills
17.6
KPR
0.74
HS%
32.5%
K/D
1.25
Dust2
10 maps
Kills
16.9
KPR
0.79
HS%
35.5%
K/D
1.34
Mirage
8 maps
Kills
16.6
KPR
0.74
HS%
33.1%
K/D
1.29
Nuke
5 maps
Kills
21
KPR
0.84
HS%
32.4%
K/D
1.44
Inferno
4 maps
Kills
13.2
KPR
0.74
HS%
43.4%
K/D
1.08
Cache
2 maps
Kills
12.5
KPR
0.62
HS%
32%
K/D
1.19
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Nemiga | 40 Ancient 23-25 | 18 Dust2 8-13 | 58 | L | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-16 | BetBoom | 29 Nuke 13-16 | 23 Dust2 13-11 | 52 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-15 | FURIA | 14 Cache 13-10 | 7 Inferno 5-13 | 21 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-14 | PARIVISION | 20 Dust2 13-11 | 21 Mirage 16-14 | 41 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-06 | M80 | 11 Cache 4-13 | 16 Mirage 13-9 | 27 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-05 | 1win | 16 Dust2 8-13 | 9 Ancient 8-13 | 25 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-04 | ShindeN | 16 Nuke 13-8 | 24 Mirage 13-11 | 40 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-03 | PARIVISION | 8 Dust2 13-5 | 4 Inferno 2-13 | 12 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-13 | G2 | 14 Ancient 13-9 | 15 Mirage 13-10 | 29 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-12 | MIBR | 16 Nuke 13-10 | 14 Ancient 11-13 | 30 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-10 | FURIA | 18 Mirage 13-7 | 11 Ancient 13-9 | 29 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-09 | Alliance | 21 Inferno 13-4 | 13 Dust2 13-6 | 34 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-08 | magic | 20 Ancient 13-7 | 13 Dust2 7-13 | 33 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-30 | Vitality | 19 Nuke 14-16 | 18 Mirage 13-9 | 37 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-08-29 | Falcons | 8 Mirage 6-13 | 16 Ancient 13-10 | 24 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-27 | FUT | 26 Ancient 13-10 | 16 Dust2 13-11 | 42 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-23 | FURIA | 21 Ancient 9-13 | 25 Nuke 13-9 | 46 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-22 | Spirit | 16 Dust2 7-13 | 15 Ancient 9-13 | 31 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-21 | Falcons | 13 Mirage 13-7 | 26 Dust2 13-10 | 39 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-20 | Natus Vincere | 21 Inferno 13-9 | 8 Ancient 13-2 | 29 | W | Under ✗ | BO |








































































































































































