KillsBetter playTake
Line
26
Pick
OVER
Projection
30.26
Hit
64.4%
EV+
+11.5%
Edge
+4.3
L10
90%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
14.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
15.92
Hit
62.3%
EV+
+7.8%
Edge
+1.4
L10
90%
#5Ranked 5 of 277 on the board

Rifler · IGL
robo
Nemiga vs BetBoom
TAKE · OVER 26
BEST OVER · PP 26PP26UD27.5SL26.5
▲ L5 34.2 · L20 31.4
Hit rates at 26 (Over)
L5
80%
4/5
L10
90%
9/10
L20
65%
13/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Medium
±7.35
Previous meeting · vs BetBoom
No meeting with BetBoom in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
39.6
5/5 hit at 26
Online
28.6
8/15 hit at 26
Avg kills on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm robo is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 27.5
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 38.5%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Take
What to watch · Needs 27+ kills: 0.63 KPR over ~41 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (53.5%) or blowout (23.5%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
30.26
Raw edge
+4.3
Cons. hit
64.4%
EV+
+11.5%
Rating
9.2/10
Exp. rounds
41.3
Line
26
Verdict
Take
Plain model
64.4%
+7.6 →
Learned
72%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Over 24-28
All players · Kills
56.7%201 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 71.9% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±3 (pref ±4)
- Near the blowout zone — team 38% to win (ideal for Overs: 40-70%).
Clears edge, form, EV+, volatility and every sharp check
Sharp checks · 6/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 90.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 65.0% at this line
Game script fits · 2-0 sweep 54% (Overs need rounds)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (28.57) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 35.9 kills vs line 26.0 (9/10 over). KPR 0.74, HS 54%. Next: vs BetBoom, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 35.9 against a 26.0 line
Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
TAKE OVER
Value
VALUE
- • Model 30.26 vs line 26 → +4.26 (16.4%)
- • Form L5 80% · L10 90% over this line
- • Underdog (≤40%) → fewer rounds (−1/map) and fewer kills (−6% KPR)
- • Expected 41.3 rounds · 2-0 53.5% · OT 18.9%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
15.68
HS/Map
8.47
K/D
1.01
KPR
0.74
ADR
83
KAST
76.7%
HS%
54.1%
Multi-kill
19.3%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Cache)13.8 · KPR 0.717 · 19.2r
Map 2 (Ancient)14.8 · KPR 0.666 · 22.1r
Required KPR to clear0.63
Base kills (Maps 1-2)28.48
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.+0.30%
Final projected kills28.57
BetBoom gives up (64 series)+2.7% vs norm
Likely kills totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 26. Model: 71.9% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps23.5%
~25 kills · 35r40.8%
Normal54%
~30 kills · 41r69.6%
Close maps3.6%
~32 kills · 44r81.3%
Overtime18.9%
~37 kills · 50r93.6%
Match context
Oct 25, 11:00 AMLANPGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Win chance source: Polymarket 38.5%
Underdog (≤40%) → fewer rounds (−1/map) and fewer kills (−6% KPR)
Heads upNear the blowout zone — team 38% to win (ideal for Overs: 40-70%).
M1 Cache
19.2r
+3% KPR here
M2 Ancient
22.1r
-5% KPR here
Total
41.3r
2-0 sweep53.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)22.5%
Overtime18.9%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)23.5%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Cache / Ancient
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 26 (Over) · avg 35.9 · hit 9/10 · tap a bar
26
Nearby lines
| 24 Over | 65.8% | |
| 25 Over | 65.2% | |
| 26 Over | 64.4% | OFFERED |
| 27 Over | 63.2% | |
| 28 Over | 61.6% |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 27.5
Line movement
first 26→26no change
- First seen26Oct 25, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Cache
9 maps
Kills
15.2
KPR
0.77
HS%
50.4%
K/D
1.23
Mirage
8 maps
Kills
16.8
KPR
0.62
HS%
56.7%
K/D
0.86
Ancient
8 maps
Kills
16.5
KPR
0.69
HS%
58.3%
K/D
0.96
Dust2
7 maps
Kills
16
KPR
0.7
HS%
51.8%
K/D
1.08
Anubis
4 maps
Kills
12.8
KPR
0.61
HS%
47.1%
K/D
0.84
Nuke
4 maps
Kills
15.2
KPR
0.73
HS%
57.4%
K/D
1.17
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | Legacy | 25 Ancient 25-23 | 17 Dust2 13-8 | 42 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-10 | Iberian Soul | 14 Cache 7-13 | 21 Nuke 16-13 | 35 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-08 | Lavked | 8 Anubis 13-5 | 10 Dust2 13-4 | 18 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-04 | Astralis | 15 Mirage 6-13 | 16 Ancient 13-10 | 31 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-03 | Luminosity | 18 Cache 13-11 | 27 Dust2 16-13 | 45 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-02 | Alliance | 16 Cache 13-6 | 21 Ancient 13-8 | 37 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-01 | FaZe | 20 Mirage 16-12 | 23 Ancient 13-11 | 43 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-28 | BET-M | 19 Anubis 13-10 | 15 Nuke 13-6 | 34 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-28 | FOKUS | 12 Dust2 13-6 | 28 Mirage 22-20 | 40 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-27 | Color | 15 Cache 13-5 | 19 Dust2 9-13 | 34 | Split | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-26 | Black Phoenix | 14 Cache 13-9 | 10 Dust2 9-13 | 24 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-25 | INOX Division | 10 Nuke 13-2 | 15 Ancient 13-10 | 25 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-24 | Just Players | 7 Mirage 13-9 | 13 Cache 13-6 | 20 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-14 | Metizport | 21 Mirage 16-14 | 15 Nuke 13-8 | 36 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-13 | SINNERS | 12 Cache 13-10 | 11 Mirage 13-10 | 23 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-12 | Just Players | 11 Ancient 13-6 | 19 Cache 13-3 | 30 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-10 | K27 | 15 Anubis 10-13 | 13 Mirage 13-9 | 28 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-09 | HOTU | 6 Ancient 3-13 | 16 Cache 13-4 | 22 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-08 | Color | 17 Dust2 16-13 | 9 Anubis 13-6 | 26 | W | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-09-06 | FOKUS | 19 Mirage 16-14 | 15 Ancient 13-3 | 34 | W | Over ✓ | OTBO |








































































































































































