KillsBetter playRisk
Line
25.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
27
Hit
60.3%
EV+
+4.5%
Edge
+1.5
L10
90%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
15.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
15.82
Hit
49.8%
EV+
-13.7%
Edge
+0.3
L10
60%
#31Ranked 31 of 277 on the board

Rifler
rdnzao
DENDELE vs Legacy
RISK · OVER 25.5
BEST OVER · PP 25.5PP25.5UD26.5SL26.5
▲ L5 30.2 · L20 27.6Risk · Edge +1.5 far below ±3.0 +1
Hit rates at 25.5 (Over)
L5
100%
5/5
L10
90%
9/10
L20
72%
13/18
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Low
±3.71
Previous meeting · vs Legacy
No meeting with Legacy in his last 18 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
28.8
10/13 hit at 25.5
Online
24.4
3/5 hit at 25.5
Avg kills on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm rdnzao is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 25.5
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 27.5%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 26+ kills: 0.63 KPR over ~41 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (57.5%) or blowout (23.8%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
27
Raw edge
+1.5
Cons. hit
60.3%
EV+
+4.5%
Rating
5.5/10
Exp. rounds
40.5
Line
25.5
Verdict
Risk
Plain model
60.3%
+8 →
Learned
68.3%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Over 23.5-27.5
All players · Kills
57%207 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 65.7% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±3 (pref ±4)
- Edge +1.5 below ±3.0 minimum
- Blowout loss risk — team only 28% to win. Big underdogs often lose maps 13-3 and the Over dies (e.g. Temny Prince: 9 kills in a 3-13 map 1). Over is penalised and can't be a Take.
Sharp checks · 6/6
Big enough sample · 18 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 90.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 72.2% at this line
Game script fits · 2-0 sweep 57% (Overs need rounds)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (25.63) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 29.0 kills vs line 25.5 (9/10 over). KPR 0.67, HS 60%. Next: vs Legacy, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 29.0 against a 25.5 line
Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
PASS
Value
THIN
- • Model 27 vs line 25.5 → +1.5 (5.9%)
- • Form L5 100% · L10 90% over this line
- • Underdog (≤40%) → fewer rounds (−1/map) and fewer kills (−6% KPR)
- • Expected 40.5 rounds · 2-0 57.5% · OT 11%
Performance (last 36 maps)
Kills/Map
13.78
HS/Map
8.28
K/D
0.94
KPR
0.67
ADR
77.2
KAST
72.5%
HS%
60.1%
Multi-kill
16.2%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Mirage)13.2 · KPR 0.62 · 21.4r
Map 2 (Cache)12.4 · KPR 0.655 · 19.1r
Required KPR to clear0.63
Base kills (Maps 1-2)25.79
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-0.63%
Final projected kills25.63
Legacy gives up (79 series)-4.3% vs norm
Likely kills totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 25.5. Model: 65.7% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps23.8%
~23 kills · 34r27.3%
Normal51.7%
~27 kills · 41r61.6%
Close maps13.5%
~29 kills · 43r72.4%
Overtime11%
~33 kills · 49r90%
Match context
Oct 25, 05:00 PMLANPGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Win chance source: Polymarket 27.5%
Underdog (≤40%) → fewer rounds (−1/map) and fewer kills (−6% KPR)
⚠ Blowout riskBlowout loss risk — team only 28% to win. Big underdogs often lose maps 13-3 and the Over dies (e.g. Temny Prince: 9 kills in a 3-13 map 1). Over is penalised and can't be a Take.
M1 Mirage
21.4r
-2% KPR here
M2 Cache
19.1r
+4% KPR here
Total
40.5r
2-0 sweep57.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)24.5%
Overtime11%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)23.8%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Mirage / Cache
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 25.5 (Over) · avg 29.0 · hit 9/10 · tap a bar
25.5
Nearby lines
| 23.5 Over | 65.1% | |
| 24.5 Over | 63.4% | |
| 25.5 Over | 60.3% | OFFERED |
| 26.5 Over | 53.6% | below BE |
| 27.5 Over | 45.4% | below BE |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 25.5
Line movement
first 25.5→25.5no change
- First seen25.5Oct 25, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Mirage
9 maps
Kills
14.9
KPR
0.66
HS%
59.7%
K/D
0.99
Cache
8 maps
Kills
13.9
KPR
0.71
HS%
67.6%
K/D
0.97
Inferno
5 maps
Kills
15.4
KPR
0.64
HS%
54.5%
K/D
0.91
Nuke
5 maps
Kills
11.2
KPR
0.61
HS%
51.8%
K/D
0.88
Ancient
5 maps
Kills
13
KPR
0.57
HS%
56.9%
K/D
0.78
Anubis
4 maps
Kills
13.2
KPR
0.66
HS%
66%
K/D
1.13
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | FURIA | 15 Ancient 8-13 | 12 Inferno 11-13 | 27 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-11 | Wildcard | 19 Mirage 13-4 | 13 Nuke 8-13 | 32 | Split | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-11 | Imperial | 19 Mirage 13-8 | 14 Inferno 13-11 | 33 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-10 | Wildcard | 20 Mirage 13-16 | 10 Cache 3-13 | 30 | L | Over ✓ | OTBO |
| 2026-09-27 | M80 | 12 Inferno 13-7 | 17 Anubis 9-13 | 29 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-26 | Wildcard | 7 Mirage 13-11 | 13 Nuke 10-13 | 20 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-26 | M80 | 16 Mirage 13-9 | 17 Ancient 16-13 | 33 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-25 | Voca | 7 Ancient 13-7 | 19 Cache 13-7 | 26 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-02 | Color | 13 Mirage 8-13 | 17 Cache 13-6 | 30 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-02 | EYEBALLERS | 16 Ancient 11-13 | 14 Cache 13-3 | 30 | Split | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-28 | Aurora | 13 Cache 7-13 | 24 Mirage 12-16 | 37 | L | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-08-26 | Spirit | 10 Ancient 8-13 | 7 Cache 7-13 | 17 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-09 | JiJieHao | 24 Inferno 14-16 | 16 Cache 13-9 | 40 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-08-07 | SAW | 15 Inferno 13-10 | 14 Anubis 13-10 | 29 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-07 | QueenConso | 8 Nuke 13-0 | 13 Anubis 13-3 | 21 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-07-25 | FaZe | 5 Nuke 2-13 | 11 Mirage 13-10 | 16 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-07-24 | FURIA | 9 Anubis 13-6 | 5 Mirage 6-13 | 14 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-07-11 | paiN | 15 Cache 13-11 | 17 Nuke 13-7 | 32 | W | Over ✓ |








































































































































































