KillsBetter playPlayable
Line
24.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
28.42
Hit
64.4%
EV+
+11.5%
Edge
+3.9
L10
60%
HeadshotsLean
Line
12.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
14.05
Hit
60.1%
EV+
+4.1%
Edge
+1.6
L10
50%

Rifler
skcH
ex-6666 vs FOKUS
LEAN · OVER 12.5
≈ L5 13.6 · L20 13.2
Hit rates at 12.5 (Over)
L5
40%
2/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
H2H
0%
0/1
Volatility
Low
±3.58
Previous meeting · vs FOKUS
0/1 hit · avg 12 headshots on Maps 1-2
2026-10-24 · NODWIN Clutch Series 13
Ancient 3-13 · Nuke 13-16 · L
12
Under 12.5 ✗
LAN vs online form
LAN
—
no series
Online · this match
13.2
9/20 hit at 12.5
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm skcH is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 12.5
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match schedule
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Headshots · Maps 1-2Lean
What to watch · Needs 13+ HS (~27 kills at 48.9% HS): 0.568 KPR over ~45 rounds. His Kills line is 24.5: backing Kills Over needs ~2 fewer kills, usually the easier play. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (50%) or blowout (22.2%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
14.05
Raw edge
+1.6
Cons. hit
60.1%
EV+
+4.1%
Rating
5.5/10
Exp. rounds
45
Line
12.5
Verdict
Lean
Plain model
60.1%
+4.5 →
Learned
64.6%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Over 10.5-14.5
All players · Headshots
59.8%189 picks
This player
66.7%3 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 66.7% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±2 (pref ±2.5)
- Edge +1.5 below ±2.0 minimum
- L10 hit rate ≥ 60%: L10 50.0% at this line
- L20 hit rate ≥ 55%: L20 45.0% at this line
Sharp checks · 4/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 50.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 45.0% at this line
Game script fits · 2-0 sweep 50% (Overs need rounds)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (14.24) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 13.6 headshots vs line 12.5 (5/10 over). KPR 0.62, HS 49%. Next: vs FOKUS, LAN/Online unknown.
Strongest: L10 average 13.6 against a 12.5 line
Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
PARTIAL
The call
PASS
Value
THIN
- • Model 14.05 vs line 12.5 → +1.55 (12.4%)
- • Form L5 40% · L10 50% over this line
- • Win chance unknown — no favourite adjustment
- • Expected 45 rounds · 2-0 50% · OT 14.4%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
13.5
HS/Map
6.6
K/D
0.92
KPR
0.62
ADR
67.3
KAST
74.4%
HS%
48.9%
Multi-kill
15.5%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Anubis)6.8 · KPR 0.66 · 21r
Map 2 (Nuke)7.5 · KPR 0.635 · 24r
Required KPR to clear0.568
Base kills (Maps 1-2)29.1
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.+0.06%
Final projected kills29.12
× realistic HS% (48.9%)14.05
FOKUS gives up (48 series)+2.5% vs norm
Likely HS totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 12.5. Model: 66.7% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps22.2%
~12 HS · 38r40.2%
Normal38.6%
~14 HS · 44r60.2%
Close maps24.8%
~15 HS · 48r72.9%
Overtime14.4%
~17 HS · 54r85.4%
Match context
Oct 24, 08:00 AMOnline
Win chance source: —
Win chance unknown — no favourite adjustment
M1 Anubis
21r
+6% KPR here
M2 Nuke
24r
+2% KPR here
Total
45r
2-0 sweep50%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)39.2%
Overtime14.4%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)22.2%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Anubis / Nuke
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 12.5 (Over) · avg 13.6 · hit 5/10 · tap a bar
12.5
Nearby lines
| 10.5 Over | 66.4% | |
| 11.5 Over | 64.8% | |
| 12.5 Over | 60.1% | OFFERED |
| 13.5 Over | 53% | below BE |
| 14.5 Over | 46.4% | below BE |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 12.5
Line movement
first 12.5→offno change
- Pulled12.5Oct 24, 08:00 AM
- First seen12.5Oct 24, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Anubis
9 maps
Kills
14
KPR
0.67
HS%
51.6%
K/D
1.11
Nuke
8 maps
Kills
16
KPR
0.64
HS%
44.5%
K/D
0.97
Dust2
8 maps
Kills
10.4
KPR
0.54
HS%
47%
K/D
0.75
Ancient
6 maps
Kills
13.3
KPR
0.65
HS%
52.5%
K/D
1.01
Inferno
5 maps
Kills
13
KPR
0.51
HS%
50.8%
K/D
0.76
Mirage
4 maps
Kills
14.5
KPR
0.65
HS%
48.3%
K/D
0.88
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | FOKUS | 4 Ancient 3-13 | 8 Nuke 13-16 | 12 | L | Under ✗ | OTBO |
| 2026-10-22 | 6yuBoJlbl | 7 Mirage 11-13 | 10 Nuke 13-10 | 17 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-22 | Acend | 4 Dust2 6-13 | 5 Inferno 14-16 | 9 | L | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-10-22 | Bushido Wildcats | 6 Anubis 13-4 | 12 Inferno 13-9 | 18 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-21 | Saint Sinners | 6 Dust2 13-5 | 6 Ancient 13-7 | 12 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-21 | BRUTE | 5 Anubis 8-13 | 10 Mirage 11-13 | 15 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-20 | Lavked | 6 Nuke 13-8 | 5 Dust2 10-13 | 11 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-20 | los kogutos | 4 Anubis 10-13 | 9 Nuke 11-13 | 13 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-19 | Fire Flux | 3 Nuke 13-10 | 6 Inferno 10-13 | 9 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-18 | Privateer | 10 Ancient 13-5 | 10 Nuke 13-9 | 20 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-17 | G2 Ares | 4 Inferno 13-11 | 6 Dust2 13-2 | 10 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-16 | mellren | 4 Dust2 4-13 | 10 Ancient 13-11 | 14 | Split | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-15 | Enjoy | 14 Anubis 10-13 | 7 Ancient 13-10 | 21 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-15 | Bushido Wildcats | 4 Dust2 13-9 | 8 Anubis 13-5 | 12 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-14 | los kogutos | 6 Nuke 16-14 | 5 Mirage 9-13 | 11 | Split | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-10-14 | GenOne | 5 Ancient 9-13 | 6 Inferno 16-12 | 11 | Split | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-10-13 | Black Phoenix | 5 Dust2 4-13 | 5 Anubis 8-13 | 10 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-12 | megoshort | 6 Mirage 13-6 | 10 Anubis 16-13 | 16 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-11 | benched gods | 8 Anubis 3-13 | 5 Dust2 13-9 | 13 | Split | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-10 | Bebop | 5 Anubis 13-6 | 5 Nuke 16-12 | 10 | W | Under ✗ | OT |








































































































































































