KillsBetter playRisk
Line
35.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
33.45
Hit
46.6%
EV+
-19.3%
Edge
-2.0
L10
50%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
14.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
15.08
Hit
31.6%
EV+
-45.3%
Edge
+0.6
L10
30%

AWPer
ZywOo
Vitality vs 9z
RISK · UNDER 35.5
BEST UNDER · PP 35.5PP35.5UD34.5
▼ L5 31.6 · L20 35.6Risk · Edge -2.1 far below ±3.0LAN UNDER · 35% hit
Hit rates at 35.5 (Under)
L5
80%
4/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
H2H
0%
0/1
Volatility
Low
±5.22
Previous meeting · vs 9z
0/1 hit · avg 37 kills on Maps 1-2
2026-08-29 · BLAST Open Fall 2026
Dust2 13-2 · Nuke 13-6 · W
37
Over 35.5 ✗
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
35.6
9/20 hit at 35.5
Online
—
no series
Avg kills on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm ZywOo is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 35.5
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 84.5%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Stays under with 35 kills or fewer: below 0.949 KPR over ~37 rounds. Main danger: overtime (7.8%) or long close maps add rounds.
Side
Under
Projection
33.45
Raw edge
-2.0
Cons. hit
46.6%
EV+
-19.3%
Rating
1/10
Exp. rounds
37.4
Line
35.5
Verdict
Risk
Plain model
46.6%
+5 →
Learned
51.6%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Under 33.5-37.5
All players · Kills
33.3%9 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 65.3% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±3 (pref ±4)
- Edge -2.1 below ±3.0 minimum
- EV+ not positive at current payout
- L10 hit rate ≥ 60%: L10 50.0% at this line
- L20 hit rate ≥ 55%: L20 45.0% at this line
- Under risk — team 84% to win; favourites win more rounds and their players usually get more kills.
Sharp checks · 4/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 50.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 45.0% at this line
Game script fits · OT chance 8% (Unders hate OT)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (34.24) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 34.3 kills vs line 35.5 (5/10 over). KPR 0.88, HS 44%. Next: vs 9z, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 34.3 against a 35.5 line
Biggest risk: High 2-0 sweep chance (66%) — fewer total rounds
- High 2-0 sweep chance (66%) — fewer total rounds
- 30% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
PARTIAL
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 33.45 vs line 35.5 → -2.05 (-5.8%)
- • Form L5 80% · L10 50% under this line
- • Heavy favourite (≥70%) → shorter maps (−1.5/map) but easier kills (+8% KPR)
- • Expected 37.4 rounds · 2-0 66.5% · OT 7.8%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
17.8
HS/Map
7.9
K/D
1.53
KPR
0.88
ADR
90.6
KAST
80%
HS%
44.4%
Multi-kill
22.6%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Dust2)17.8 · KPR 0.995 · 18.3r
Map 2 (Anubis)16.5 · KPR 0.885 · 19.1r
Required KPR to clear0.949
Base kills (Maps 1-2)35.1
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-2.45%
Final projected kills34.24
9z gives up (77 series)-2.7% vs norm
Likely kills totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Under 35.5. Model: 65.3% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps39.2%
~28 kills · 32r90.6%
Normal34.1%
~36 kills · 41r46.2%
Close maps18.9%
~36 kills · 40r48.3%
Overtime7.8%
~41 kills · 46r19%
Match context
Oct 24, 01:30 PMLANPGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Win chance source: Polymarket 84.5%
Heavy favourite (≥70%) → shorter maps (−1.5/map) but easier kills (+8% KPR)
Heads upUnder risk — team 84% to win; favourites win more rounds and their players usually get more kills.
M1 Dust2
18.3r
+4% KPR here
M2 Anubis
19.1r
-7% KPR here
Total
37.4r
2-0 sweep66.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)26.7%
Overtime7.8%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)39.2%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Dust2 / Anubis
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 35.5 (Under) · avg 34.3 · hit 5/10 · tap a bar
35.5
Nearby lines
| 33.5 Under | 35.7% | below BE |
| 34.5 Under | 42.2% | below BE |
| 35.5 Under | 46.6% | OFFERED |
| 36.5 Under | 52.6% | below BE |
| 37.5 Under | 57.8% |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 35.5
Line movement
first 35.5→35.5no change
- Back on board36 → 35.5Oct 24, 09:06 PM
- Pulled36Oct 24, 01:55 PM
- Back on board35.5 → 36Oct 24, 01:45 PM
- Pulled35.5Oct 24, 01:43 PM
- First seen35.5Oct 24, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Dust2
10 maps
Kills
18
KPR
0.93
HS%
37.8%
K/D
1.84
Anubis
9 maps
Kills
16.2
KPR
0.8
HS%
45.2%
K/D
1.29
Cache
7 maps
Kills
20.9
KPR
0.98
HS%
47.3%
K/D
1.95
Inferno
5 maps
Kills
16.4
KPR
0.81
HS%
53.7%
K/D
1.55
Nuke
5 maps
Kills
17.2
KPR
0.74
HS%
43%
K/D
1.16
Mirage
4 maps
Kills
18
KPR
0.88
HS%
44.4%
K/D
1.41
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | MOUZ | 21 Cache 13-8 | 18 Inferno 13-7 | 39 | W | Over ✗ | |
| 2026-10-10 | Aurora | 11 Anubis 7-13 | 23 Cache 13-7 | 34 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-10-09 | PARIVISION | 7 Inferno 13-2 | 26 Dust2 13-10 | 33 | W | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-05 | Falcons | 12 Anubis 9-13 | 12 Dust2 13-4 | 24 | Split | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-04 | Natus Vincere | 21 Anubis 13-5 | 7 Nuke 5-13 | 28 | Split | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-03 | 1win | 17 Dust2 13-1 | 20 Cache 13-5 | 37 | W | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-20 | Aurora | 18 Anubis 13-4 | 18 Inferno 11-13 | 36 | Split | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-20 | FURIA | 20 Cache 13-5 | 22 Anubis 13-8 | 42 | W | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-19 | Aurora | 14 Anubis 7-13 | 17 Inferno 13-11 | 31 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-18 | FURIA | 26 Mirage 13-8 | 13 Dust2 13-5 | 39 | W | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-17 | magic | 11 Mirage 13-6 | 22 Dust2 13-9 | 33 | W | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-05 | MOUZ | 20 Dust2 11-13 | 21 Mirage 7-13 | 41 | L | Over ✗ | |
| 2026-09-04 | FURIA | 8 Nuke 6-13 | 21 Cache 13-11 | 29 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-08-31 | FUT | 16 Anubis 13-7 | 18 Dust2 13-8 | 34 | W | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-08-30 | Legacy | 26 Nuke 16-14 | 14 Mirage 9-13 | 40 | Split | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2026-08-29 | 9z | 17 Dust2 13-2 | 20 Nuke 13-6 | 37 | W | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2026-08-27 | Inner Circle | 11 Anubis 8-13 | 16 Cache 13-16 | 27 | L | Under ✓ | OT |
| 2026-08-21 | Spirit | 21 Anubis 11-13 | 25 Nuke 16-14 | 46 | Split | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2026-08-20 | FaZe | 17 Dust2 13-11 | 25 Cache 13-6 | 42 | W | Over ✗ | |
| 2026-08-16 | Lynn Vision | 18 Dust2 13-2 | 22 Inferno 13-5 | 40 | W | Over ✗ | BO |







































































































































































