KillsRisk
Line
27
Pick
OVER
Projection
26.06
Hit
44.1%
EV+
-23.7%
Edge
-0.9
L10
30%
HeadshotsBetter playRisk
Line
14.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
14.64
Hit
47.9%
EV+
-17.0%
Edge
+0.1
L10
30%
#210Ranked 210 of 277 on the board

Rifler
ZEDKO
BRUTE vs INFINITE
RISK · OVER 14.5
SAME LINE ON ALL APPSPP14.5UD14.5SL14.5
▼ L5 14.6 · L20 15.3Risk · Recent form (L5/L10) leans the other way +2
Hit rates at 14.5 (Over)
L5
40%
2/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
45%
9/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
High
±6.25
Previous meeting · vs INFINITE
No meeting with INFINITE in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN
13.4
2/8 hit at 14.5
Online · this match
16.5
7/12 hit at 14.5
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm ZEDKO is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 14.5
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 55.0%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Headshots · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 15+ HS (~26 kills at 57.1% HS): 0.582 KPR over ~44 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (72.5%) or blowout (30.4%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
14.64
Raw edge
+0.1
Cons. hit
47.9%
EV+
-17.0%
Rating
1/10
Exp. rounds
43.6
Line
14.5
Verdict
Risk
Plain model
47.9%
+8.7 →
Learned
56.6%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Over 12.5-16.5
All players · Headshots
61.7%261 picks
This player
50%2 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 50.9% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±2 (pref ±2.5)
- Edge +0.1 below ±2.0 minimum
- Recent form (L5/L10) does not lean the same way
- EV+ not positive at current payout
- High form volatility
- L10 hit rate ≥ 60%: L10 30.0% at this line
- L20 hit rate ≥ 55%: L20 45.0% at this line
- Game script fits: 2-0 sweep 72% (Overs need rounds)
Sharp checks · 3/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 30.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 45.0% at this line
Game script fits · 2-0 sweep 72% (Overs need rounds)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (14.65) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 13.5 headshots vs line 14.5 (3/10 over). KPR 0.58, HS 57%. Next: vs INFINITE, Online.
Strongest: L10 average 13.5 against a 14.5 line
Biggest risk: High 2-0 sweep chance (72%) — fewer total rounds
- High 2-0 sweep chance (72%) — fewer total rounds
- 30% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 14.64 vs line 14.5 → +0.14 (1.0%)
- • Form L5 40% · L10 30% over this line
- • Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
- • Expected 43.6 rounds · 2-0 72.5% · OT 14.4%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
13.35
HS/Map
7.62
K/D
1.02
KPR
0.58
ADR
65.8
KAST
74.2%
HS%
57.1%
Multi-kill
12.3%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Mirage)7.5 · KPR 0.623 · 21.4r
Map 2 (Dust2)7.1 · KPR 0.57 · 22.2r
Required KPR to clear0.582
Base kills (Maps 1-2)25.99
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-1.27%
Final projected kills25.66
× realistic HS% (57.1%)14.64
INFINITE gives up (70 series)+4.3% vs norm
Likely HS totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 14.5. Model: 50.9% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps30.4%
~12 HS · 37r30.8%
Normal42.9%
~15 HS · 45r48.9%
Close maps12.3%
~16 HS · 47r53.4%
Overtime14.4%
~18 HS · 53r65.8%
Match context
Oct 25, 03:00 PMOnlineNODWIN Clutch Series 13
Win chance source: Polymarket 55.0%
Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
Game scriptIdeal Over range — team 55% to win (40-70%), competitive maps expected.
M1 Mirage
21.4r
+8% KPR here
M2 Dust2
22.2r
-1% KPR here
Total
43.6r
2-0 sweep72.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)26.7%
Overtime14.4%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)30.4%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Mirage / Dust2
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 14.5 (Over) · avg 13.5 · hit 3/10 · tap a bar
14.5
Nearby lines
| 12.5 Over | 58.7% | |
| 13.5 Over | 51.7% | below BE |
| 14.5 Over | 47.9% | OFFERED |
| 15.5 Over | 42.1% | below BE |
| 16.5 Over | 38.4% | below BE |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 14.5
Line movement
first 14.5→14.5no change
- First seen14.5Oct 25, 12:00 AM
Map stats
Mirage
12 maps
Kills
12.8
KPR
0.63
HS%
54.9%
K/D
1.01
Dust2
8 maps
Kills
12
KPR
0.57
HS%
65.6%
K/D
0.95
Anubis
6 maps
Kills
12.8
KPR
0.56
HS%
58.4%
K/D
0.89
Inferno
5 maps
Kills
16.6
KPR
0.65
HS%
56.6%
K/D
1.14
Cache
4 maps
Kills
16.2
KPR
0.7
HS%
53.8%
K/D
1.1
Nuke
3 maps
Kills
10.7
KPR
0.65
HS%
46.9%
K/D
1.19
Ancient
2 maps
Kills
14
KPR
0.68
HS%
57.1%
K/D
1.04
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | INOX Division | 5 Nuke 13-3 | 5 Dust2 5-13 | 10 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-23 | BAKS | 6 Cache 8-13 | 9 Inferno 13-8 | 15 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-21 | Sangal | 7 Nuke 13-4 | 4 Mirage 3-13 | 11 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-21 | ex-6666 | 5 Anubis 13-8 | 5 Mirage 13-11 | 10 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-19 | Phantom | 12 Mirage 13-16 | 15 Inferno 19-16 | 27 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-18 | BET-M | 4 Inferno 13-6 | 6 Mirage 13-5 | 10 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-15 | mellren | 12 Inferno 16-13 | 10 Dust2 13-16 | 22 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-26 | Inner Circle Academy | 4 Anubis 10-13 | 9 Mirage 10-13 | 13 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-26 | Four Magic | 2 Mirage 13-1 | 2 Dust2 13-5 | 4 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-25 | aimclub | 5 Mirage 6-13 | 8 Dust2 13-9 | 13 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-25 | INFURITY | 7 Inferno 10-13 | 16 Cache 16-12 | 23 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-21 | SPARTA | 16 Dust2 13-10 | 9 Mirage 13-7 | 25 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-20 | BET-M | 11 Mirage 11-13 | 11 Ancient 9-13 | 22 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-17 | QUAZAR | 8 Anubis 16-14 | 11 Mirage 13-8 | 19 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-15 | G2 Ares | 5 Ancient 6-13 | 5 Cache 13-11 | 10 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-01 | PCIFIC | 11 Dust2 11-13 | 6 Anubis 13-8 | 17 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-08 | Nexus | 8 Cache 7-13 | 5 Anubis 9-13 | 13 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-08 | eSuba | 17 Anubis 13-8 | 6 Dust2 13-4 | 23 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-07 | NAVI Junior | 3 Mirage 13-4 | 5 Dust2 5-13 | 8 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-08-02 | 9INE | 7 Mirage 3-13 | 3 Nuke 3-13 | 10 | L | Under ✗ | BO |








































































































































































