KillsRisk
Line
29.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
30.21
Hit
55.4%
EV+
-4.1%
Edge
+0.7
L10
60%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
16.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
17.08
Hit
55.1%
EV+
-4.6%
Edge
+0.6
L10
40%

Rifler
blytz
Infinite Gaming vs Brute
RISK · OVER 29.5
SAME LINE ON ALL APPSUD29.5SL29.5
≈ L5 28.8 · L20 29.7Risk · Edge +0.7 far below ±3.0
Hit rates at 29.5 (Over)
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
59%
10/17
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Low
±5.57
Previous meeting · vs Brute
No meeting with Brute in his last 17 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN
30
8/13 hit at 29.5
Online · this match
28.8
2/4 hit at 29.5
Avg kills on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm Blytz is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 29.5
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 46.0%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
underdog · Kills · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 30+ kills: 0.616 KPR over ~48 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (71%) or blowout (16.6%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
30.21
Raw edge
+0.7
Cons. hit
55.4%
EV+
-4.1%
Rating
3.3/10
Exp. rounds
47.9
Line
29.5
Verdict
Risk
Plain model
55.4%
-8.7 →
Learned
46.7%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Over 27.5-31.5
All players · Kills
56%332 picks
This player
—0 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 55.1% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±3 (pref ±4)
- Edge +0.7 below ±3.0 minimum
- EV+ not positive at current payout
- Game script fits: 2-0 sweep 71% (Overs need rounds)
Sharp checks · 5/6
Big enough sample · 17 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 60.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 58.8% at this line
Game script fits · 2-0 sweep 71% (Overs need rounds)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (30.81) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 30.6 kills vs line 30.5 (6/10 over). KPR 0.66, HS 56%. Next: vs BRUTE, Online.
Strongest: L10 average 30.6 against a 30.5 line
Biggest risk: High 2-0 sweep chance (71%) — fewer total rounds
- High 2-0 sweep chance (71%) — fewer total rounds
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 30.21 vs line 29.5 → +0.71 (2.4%)
- • Form L5 40% · L10 60% over this line
- • Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
- • Expected 47.9 rounds · 2-0 71% · OT 16.7%
Performance (last 34 maps)
Kills/Map
14.85
HS/Map
8.38
K/D
0.91
KPR
0.66
ADR
73.2
KAST
70.9%
HS%
56.4%
Multi-kill
17.9%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Ancient)16.4 · KPR 0.695 · 23.5r
Map 2 (Dust2)14.5 · KPR 0.592 · 24.4r
Required KPR to clear0.616
Base kills (Maps 1-2)30.78
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.+0.11%
Final projected kills30.81
Brute gives up (32 series)-5.6% vs norm
Likely kills totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 29.5. Model: 55.1% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps16.6%
~25 kills · 40r20.8%
Normal52.9%
~29 kills · 47r47.3%
Close maps13.8%
~32 kills · 51r67.7%
Overtime16.7%
~36 kills · 57r86%
Match context
Oct 25, 03:00 PMOnlineNODWIN Clutch Series 13
Win chance source: Polymarket 46.0%
Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
Game scriptIdeal Over range — team 46% to win (40-70%), competitive maps expected.
M1 Ancient
23.5r
+5% KPR here
M2 Dust2
24.4r
-10% KPR here
Total
47.9r
2-0 sweep71%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)30.5%
Overtime16.7%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)16.6%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Ancient / Dust2
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 29.5 (Over) · avg 30.6 · hit 6/10 · tap a bar
29.5
Nearby lines
| 27.5 Over | 62.5% | |
| 28.5 Over | 58.8% | |
| 29.5 Over | 55.4% | OFFERED |
| 30.5 Over | 51.3% | below BE |
| 31.5 Over | 41.3% | below BE |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 29.5
Line movement
first 30.5→29.5-1
- Back on board30.5 → 29.5Oct 24, 01:08 PM
- Pulled30.5Oct 24, 01:06 PM
- First seen30.5Oct 24, 01:02 PM
Map stats
Ancient
10 maps
Kills
16.1
KPR
0.71
HS%
57.8%
K/D
1.05
Dust2
9 maps
Kills
13.7
KPR
0.57
HS%
55.3%
K/D
0.75
Mirage
5 maps
Kills
19.4
KPR
0.72
HS%
56.7%
K/D
1.02
Inferno
4 maps
Kills
12.2
KPR
0.54
HS%
44.9%
K/D
0.79
Cache
3 maps
Kills
12.7
KPR
0.67
HS%
57.9%
K/D
1.06
Nuke
3 maps
Kills
12.3
KPR
0.56
HS%
67.6%
K/D
0.76
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Envy | 11 Ancient 8-13 | 11 Dust2 1-13 | 22 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-20 | Eternal Fire | 5 Cache 1-13 | 26 Dust2 20-22 | 31 | L | Over ✓ | OTBO |
| 2026-10-09 | WBT | 11 Dust2 9-13 | 12 Ancient 6-13 | 23 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-08 | G2 Ares | 7 Inferno 7-13 | 21 Ancient 14-16 | 28 | L | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-10-04 | SAW | 16 Nuke 9-13 | 24 Ancient 13-16 | 40 | L | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-03 | Wildcard | 21 Inferno 13-11 | 16 Mirage 13-8 | 37 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-03 | UNiTY | 11 Inferno 11-13 | 16 Mirage 7-13 | 27 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-02 | SAW | 13 Cache 13-8 | 18 Ancient 13-8 | 31 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-27 | RBLS | 12 Nuke 13-8 | 19 Ancient 13-8 | 31 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-27 | Fluxo | 33 Mirage 20-22 | 3 Dust2 3-13 | 36 | L | Over ✓ | OTBO |
| 2026-09-26 | GenOne | 20 Dust2 11-13 | 17 Ancient 13-10 | 37 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-25 | NT | 14 Ancient 13-10 | 19 Dust2 19-16 | 33 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-25 | SAW | 10 Inferno 9-13 | 4 Dust2 10-13 | 14 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-10 | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 9 Ancient 5-13 | 10 Mirage 9-13 | 19 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-09 | 1win | 13 Dust2 9-13 | 22 Mirage 16-14 | 35 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-07 | INOX Division | 16 Ancient 10-13 | 9 Nuke 10-13 | 25 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-05 | QUAZAR | 20 Cache 13-9 | 16 Dust2 5-13 | 36 | Split | Over ✓ | BO |









































































































































































