KillsTake
Line
23.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
18.83
Hit
61.6%
EV+
+6.7%
Edge
-4.7
L10
70%
HeadshotsPlayable
Line
11.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
9.46
Hit
61.3%
EV+
+6.3%
Edge
-2.0
L10
70%

Rifler
ScrunK
Infinite Gaming vs Brute
TAKE · UNDER 23.5
SAME LINE ON ALL APPSPP23.5UD23.5SL23.5
▼ L5 15.4 · L20 20.8
Hit rates at 23.5 (Under)
L5
100%
5/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
65%
13/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Low
±5.79
Previous meeting · vs Brute
No meeting with Brute in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN
20.1
7/10 hit at 23.5
Online · this match
21.4
6/10 hit at 23.5
Avg kills on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm ScrunK is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 22
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 46.0%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
underdog · Kills · Maps 1-2Take
What to watch · Stays under with 23 kills or fewer: below 0.526 KPR over ~45 rounds. Main danger: overtime (14.4%) or long close maps add rounds.
Side
Under
Projection
18.83
Raw edge
-4.7
Cons. hit
61.6%
EV+
+6.7%
Rating
9/10
Exp. rounds
44.7
Line
23.5
Verdict
Take
Plain model
61.6%
+4 →
Learned
65.6%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Under 21.5-25.5
All players · Kills
34.3%99 picks
This player
—0 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 79% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±3 (pref ±4)
Clears edge, form, EV+, volatility and every sharp check
Sharp checks · 6/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 70.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 65.0% at this line
Game script fits · OT chance 14% (Unders hate OT)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (20.3) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 20.1 kills vs line 23.5 (3/10 over). KPR 0.46, HS 50%. Next: vs BRUTE, Online.
Strongest: L10 average 20.1 against a 23.5 line
Biggest risk: High 2-0 sweep chance (71%) — fewer total rounds
- High 2-0 sweep chance (71%) — fewer total rounds
- 32% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
TAKE UNDER
Value
THIN
- • Model 18.83 vs line 23.5 → -4.67 (-19.9%)
- • Form L5 100% · L10 70% under this line
- • Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
- • Expected 44.7 rounds · 2-0 71% · OT 14.4%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
10.38
HS/Map
5.2
K/D
0.67
KPR
0.46
ADR
56.4
KAST
67.8%
HS%
50.1%
Multi-kill
9.2%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Inferno)11.2 · KPR 0.502 · 22.6r
Map 2 (Dust2)9.1 · KPR 0.418 · 22.1r
Required KPR to clear0.526
Base kills (Maps 1-2)20.58
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-1.37%
Final projected kills20.3
Brute gives up (32 series)-5.6% vs norm
Likely kills totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Under 23.5. Model: 79% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps32.3%
~16 kills · 38r93.4%
Normal32.7%
~19 kills · 46r79.2%
Close maps20.6%
~20 kills · 48r74.2%
Overtime14.4%
~23 kills · 54r57.8%
Match context
Oct 25, 03:00 PMOnlineNODWIN Clutch Series 13
Win chance source: Polymarket 46.0%
Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
Game scriptNeutral for Under — team 46% to win (ideal is 40% or lower).
M1 Inferno
22.6r
+8% KPR here
M2 Dust2
22.1r
-10% KPR here
Total
44.7r
2-0 sweep71%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)35%
Overtime14.4%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)32.3%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Inferno / Dust2
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 23.5 (Under) · avg 20.1 · hit 7/10 · tap a bar
23.5
Nearby lines
| 21.5 Under | 54.9% | below BE |
| 22.5 Under | 58% | |
| 23.5 Under | 61.6% | OFFERED |
| 24.5 Under | 64% | |
| 25.5 Under | 64.8% |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 22
Line movement
first 23.5→23.5no change
- First seen23.5Oct 24, 01:02 PM
Map stats
Inferno
11 maps
Kills
11.1
KPR
0.51
HS%
46.7%
K/D
0.85
Dust2
10 maps
Kills
8.5
KPR
0.4
HS%
47.1%
K/D
0.52
Mirage
8 maps
Kills
12.1
KPR
0.5
HS%
52.6%
K/D
0.69
Anubis
3 maps
Kills
10.3
KPR
0.54
HS%
51.6%
K/D
0.78
Ancient
3 maps
Kills
13
KPR
0.52
HS%
59%
K/D
0.67
Train
2 maps
Kills
12.5
KPR
0.51
HS%
44%
K/D
0.69
Overpass
1 maps
Kills
1
KPR
0.07
HS%
100%
K/D
0.07
Cache
1 maps
Kills
5
KPR
0.36
HS%
80%
K/D
0.36
Nuke
1 maps
Kills
10
KPR
0.5
HS%
50%
K/D
0.83
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Envy | 14 Ancient 8-13 | 4 Dust2 1-13 | 18 | L | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-20 | Eternal Fire | 5 Cache 1-13 | 16 Dust2 20-22 | 21 | L | Under ✓ | OTBO |
| 2026-05-21 | BC.Game | 6 Dust2 8-13 | 9 Anubis 4-13 | 15 | L | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-05-12 | BC.Game | 1 Overpass 2-13 | 9 Mirage 11-13 | 10 | L | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-05-11 | Vitality | 7 Mirage 7-13 | 6 Dust2 10-13 | 13 | L | Under ✓ | |
| 2025-07-13 | Germany | 14 Inferno 16-13 | 10 Nuke 13-7 | 24 | W | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2025-07-12 | Lithuania | 8 Dust2 13-4 | 13 Mirage 11-13 | 21 | Split | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2025-07-12 | Germany | 12 Dust2 13-8 | 17 Inferno 13-3 | 29 | W | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2025-07-10 | Bulgaria | 9 Inferno 13-5 | 14 Mirage 19-16 | 23 | W | Under ✓ | OTBO |
| 2025-07-09 | Germany | 16 Inferno 13-11 | 11 Mirage 13-5 | 27 | W | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2025-06-20 | Fire Flux | 11 Inferno 9-13 | 14 Mirage 11-13 | 25 | L | Over ✗ | |
| 2025-06-17 | Eternal Fire | 14 Inferno 13-9 | 9 Dust2 9-13 | 23 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2025-06-16 | Bushido Wildcats | 11 Inferno 13-5 | 13 Dust2 13-7 | 24 | W | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2025-06-15 | Fire Flux | 1 Inferno 13-8 | 16 Mirage 8-13 | 17 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2025-06-13 | Fire Flux | 5 Dust2 2-13 | 11 Train 14-16 | 16 | L | Under ✓ | OTBO |
| 2025-06-09 | Astrum | 6 Inferno 9-13 | 14 Train 13-6 | 20 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2025-06-07 | Nexus | 11 Inferno 13-10 | 6 Dust2 2-13 | 17 | Split | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2025-05-29 | Betclic | 16 Ancient 17-19 | 6 Anubis 10-13 | 22 | L | Under ✓ | OT |
| 2025-05-27 | Fire Flux | 12 Inferno 13-10 | 13 Mirage 13-16 | 25 | Split | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2025-05-25 | Fire Flux | 16 Anubis 13-4 | 9 Ancient 13-5 | 25 | W | Over ✗ | BO |








































































































































































