KillsTake
Line
23.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
18.83
Hit
61.6%
EV+
+6.7%
Edge
-4.7
L10
70%
HeadshotsPlayable
Line
11.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
9.46
Hit
61.3%
EV+
+6.3%
Edge
-2.0
L10
70%

Rifler
ScrunK
Infinite Gaming vs Brute
PLAYABLE · UNDER 11.5
SAME LINE ON ALL APPSPP11.5UD11.5SL11.5
▼ L5 7.8 · L20 10.4
Hit rates at 11.5 (Under)
L5
80%
4/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
60%
12/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Low
±2.79
Previous meeting · vs Brute
No meeting with Brute in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN
9
7/10 hit at 11.5
Online · this match
11.8
5/10 hit at 11.5
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm ScrunK is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 11
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 46.0%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
underdog · Headshots · Maps 1-2Playable
What to watch · Stays under with 11 HS or fewer (under ~24 kills at 50.1% HS): below 0.514 KPR over ~45 rounds. Main danger: overtime (14.4%) or long close maps add rounds.
Side
Under
Projection
9.46
Raw edge
-2.0
Cons. hit
61.3%
EV+
+6.3%
Rating
8.1/10
Exp. rounds
44.7
Line
11.5
Verdict
Playable
Plain model
61.3%
-1.1 →
Learned
60.2%
what past results change
learning 1x
learning 1x
Same-line track record · Under 9.5-13.5
All players · Headshots
40.9%132 picks
This player
—0 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 76.8% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±2 (pref ±2.5)
Clears edge, form, EV+, volatility and every sharp check
Sharp checks · 6/6
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 70.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 60.0% at this line
Game script fits · OT chance 14% (Unders hate OT)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (10.17) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 9.0 headshots vs line 11.5 (3/10 over). KPR 0.46, HS 50%. Next: vs BRUTE, Online.
Strongest: L10 average 9.0 against a 11.5 line
Biggest risk: High 2-0 sweep chance (71%) — fewer total rounds
- High 2-0 sweep chance (71%) — fewer total rounds
- 32% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
TAKE UNDER
Value
THIN
- • Model 9.46 vs line 11.5 → -2.04 (-17.7%)
- • Form L5 80% · L10 70% under this line
- • Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
- • Expected 44.7 rounds · 2-0 71% · OT 14.4%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
10.38
HS/Map
5.2
K/D
0.67
KPR
0.46
ADR
56.4
KAST
67.8%
HS%
50.1%
Multi-kill
9.2%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Inferno)5.6 · KPR 0.502 · 22.6r
Map 2 (Dust2)4.6 · KPR 0.418 · 22.1r
Required KPR to clear0.514
Base kills (Maps 1-2)20.58
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-1.37%
Final projected kills20.3
× realistic HS% (50.1%)9.46
Brute gives up (32 series)-2.2% vs norm
Likely HS totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Under 11.5. Model: 76.8% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps32.3%
~8 HS · 38r88.7%
Normal32.7%
~10 HS · 46r72.8%
Close maps20.6%
~10 HS · 48r68%
Overtime14.4%
~11 HS · 54r53.4%
Match context
Oct 25, 03:00 PMOnlineNODWIN Clutch Series 13
Win chance source: Polymarket 46.0%
Close match (45–65%) → longer maps: +1 round per map
Game scriptNeutral for Under — team 46% to win (ideal is 40% or lower).
M1 Inferno
22.6r
+8% KPR here
M2 Dust2
22.1r
-10% KPR here
Total
44.7r
2-0 sweep71%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)35%
Overtime14.4%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)32.3%
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Inferno / Dust2
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 11.5 (Under) · avg 9.0 · hit 7/10 · tap a bar
11.5
Nearby lines
| 9.5 Under | 47.7% | below BE |
| 10.5 Under | 55.8% | below BE |
| 11.5 Under | 61.3% | OFFERED |
| 12.5 Under | 64.8% | |
| 13.5 Under | 66.6% |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 11
Line movement
first 11.5→11.5no change
- First seen11.5Oct 24, 01:02 PM
Map stats
Inferno
11 maps
Kills
11.1
KPR
0.51
HS%
46.7%
K/D
0.85
Dust2
10 maps
Kills
8.5
KPR
0.4
HS%
47.1%
K/D
0.52
Mirage
8 maps
Kills
12.1
KPR
0.5
HS%
52.6%
K/D
0.69
Anubis
3 maps
Kills
10.3
KPR
0.54
HS%
51.6%
K/D
0.78
Ancient
3 maps
Kills
13
KPR
0.52
HS%
59%
K/D
0.67
Train
2 maps
Kills
12.5
KPR
0.51
HS%
44%
K/D
0.69
Overpass
1 maps
Kills
1
KPR
0.07
HS%
100%
K/D
0.07
Cache
1 maps
Kills
5
KPR
0.36
HS%
80%
K/D
0.36
Nuke
1 maps
Kills
10
KPR
0.5
HS%
50%
K/D
0.83
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-20 | Envy | 7 Ancient 8-13 | 2 Dust2 1-13 | 9 | L | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-20 | Eternal Fire | 4 Cache 1-13 | 8 Dust2 20-22 | 12 | L | Over ✗ | OTBO |
| 2026-05-21 | BC.Game | 3 Dust2 8-13 | 4 Anubis 4-13 | 7 | L | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-05-12 | BC.Game | 1 Overpass 2-13 | 3 Mirage 11-13 | 4 | L | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-05-11 | Vitality | 5 Mirage 7-13 | 2 Dust2 10-13 | 7 | L | Under ✓ | |
| 2025-07-13 | Germany | 2 Inferno 16-13 | 5 Nuke 13-7 | 7 | W | Under ✓ | OT |
| 2025-07-12 | Lithuania | 3 Dust2 13-4 | 6 Mirage 11-13 | 9 | Split | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2025-07-12 | Germany | 6 Dust2 13-8 | 3 Inferno 13-3 | 9 | W | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2025-07-10 | Bulgaria | 4 Inferno 13-5 | 9 Mirage 19-16 | 13 | W | Over ✗ | OTBO |
| 2025-07-09 | Germany | 10 Inferno 13-11 | 3 Mirage 13-5 | 13 | W | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2025-06-20 | Fire Flux | 7 Inferno 9-13 | 8 Mirage 11-13 | 15 | L | Over ✗ | |
| 2025-06-17 | Eternal Fire | 6 Inferno 13-9 | 4 Dust2 9-13 | 10 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2025-06-16 | Bushido Wildcats | 7 Inferno 13-5 | 7 Dust2 13-7 | 14 | W | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2025-06-15 | Fire Flux | 1 Inferno 13-8 | 10 Mirage 8-13 | 11 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2025-06-13 | Fire Flux | 2 Dust2 2-13 | 4 Train 14-16 | 6 | L | Under ✓ | OTBO |
| 2025-06-09 | Astrum | 3 Inferno 9-13 | 7 Train 13-6 | 10 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2025-06-07 | Nexus | 7 Inferno 13-10 | 3 Dust2 2-13 | 10 | Split | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2025-05-29 | Betclic | 11 Ancient 17-19 | 4 Anubis 10-13 | 15 | L | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2025-05-27 | Fire Flux | 7 Inferno 13-10 | 7 Mirage 13-16 | 14 | Split | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2025-05-25 | Fire Flux | 8 Anubis 13-4 | 5 Ancient 13-5 | 13 | W | Over ✗ | BO |








































































































































































