KillsBetter playRisk
Line
28.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
29.3
Hit
46.9%
EV+
-18.7%
Edge
+0.8
L10
60%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
15
Pick
OVER
Projection
15.33
Hit
38.2%
EV+
-33.8%
Edge
+0.3
L10
30%
Rifler
nettik
FlyQuest vs Staqued
RISK · OVER 28.5
▲ L5 32.8 · L20 29.3
Hit rates at 28.5 (Over)
L5
80%
4/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
42%
8/19
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Low
Previous meeting · vs Staqued
No meeting with Staqued in his last 19 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
31.2
6/10 hit at 28.5
Online
27.1
2/9 hit at 28.5
Avg kills on Maps 1-2.
Late checks & sources
- Veto confirmed — re-check map order
- Confirm nettik is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at —
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 95.2%
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 29+ kills: across ~39 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (75.2%) or blowout (47.6%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
29.3
Raw edge
+0.8
Cons. hit
46.9%
EV+
-18.7%
Exp. rounds
39.2
Line
28.5
Verdict
Risk
Same-line track record · Over 26.5-30.5
All players · Kills
51.5%658 picks
This player
0%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 31.1 kills vs line 28.5 (6/10 over). Next: vs Staqued, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 31.1 against a 28.5 line
Biggest risk: 36% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- 36% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 29.3 vs line 28.5 → +0.8 (2.8%)
- • Form L5 80% · L10 60% over this line
- • Expected 39.2 rounds · 2-0 75.2% · OT 10.5%
Performance (last 38 maps)
Kills/Map
14.63
HS/Map
7.66
K/D
1.21
ADR
81.3
KAST
81.4%
Multi-kill
19.6%
Kills projection
Match context
Oct 26, 10:00 PM CTLANDFRAG Invitational 2026
Win chance source: Polymarket 95.2%
M1 Ancient
19.4r
M2 Inferno
19.8r
Total
39.2r
2-0 sweep75.2%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)19.1%
Overtime10.5%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)47.6%
2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way. Sweep from win chance + his team's 2-0 rate + opponent's 2-0 rate + market. Rounds & blowout from 38 his-team maps + 4 opponent maps + 0 past-meeting maps.
Veto confirmed (HLTV): Ancient / Inferno
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 28.5 (Over) · avg 31.1 · hit 6/10 · tap a bar
28.5
Line movement
first 28.5→offno change
- Pulled27.5Oct 26, 10:02 PM
- Back on board27.5 → 27.5Oct 26, 10:01 PM
- Pulled27.5Oct 26, 10:00 PM
- Moved down28.5 → 27.5Oct 26, 07:12 PM
- First seen28.5Oct 26, 10:58 AM
Map stats
Dust2
11 maps
Kills
15.6
K/D
1.17
Anubis
9 maps
Kills
12
K/D
1.01
Inferno
9 maps
Kills
15.9
K/D
1.24
Ancient
4 maps
Kills
15
K/D
1.09
Cache
3 maps
Kills
15.7
K/D
2.24
Nuke
2 maps
Kills
13
K/D
2
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | NEXVOID | 9 Ancient 7-13 | 21 Dust2 13-6 | 30 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-17 | NEXVOID | 24 Ancient 14-16 | 12 Dust2 13-2 | 36 | Split | Over ✓ | OTBO |
| 2026-10-17 | Rooster | 5 Anubis 13-1 | 22 Inferno 13-6 | 27 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-16 | Abyssal | 19 Cache 13-8 | 12 Inferno 13-9 | 31 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-16 | Off Chops | 15 Dust2 13-10 | 25 Inferno 19-16 | 40 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-11 | Abyssal | 14 Dust2 13-6 | 19 Inferno 13-8 | 33 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-11 | Ground Zero | 15 Anubis 13-10 | 20 Inferno 13-10 | 35 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-10 | Abyssal | 16 Dust2 13-4 | 11 Inferno 13-8 | 27 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-29 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 9 Inferno 13-4 | 18 Dust2 13-9 | 27 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-27 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13 Inferno 13-2 | 12 Ancient 13-4 | 25 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-25 | Rooster | 14 Anubis 13-8 | 17 Nuke 13-3 | 31 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-23 | LFO 8 | 18 Cache 13-3 | 8 Dust2 13-4 | 26 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-03 | Rare Atom | 19 Dust2 19-17 | 9 Anubis 10-13 | 28 | Split | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-09-03 | DEPO | 14 Anubis 13-6 | 15 Ancient 13-9 | 29 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-03 | Kaleido | 10 Cache 13-5 | 14 Anubis 13-4 | 24 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-02 | Rare Atom | 11 Dust2 6-13 | 17 Anubis 16-14 | 28 | Split | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-09-02 | NEXVOID | 12 Inferno 13-7 | 14 Anubis 13-11 | 26 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-07-19 | Ground Zero | 21 Dust2 13-6 | 6 Anubis 13-5 | 27 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-07-18 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 17 Dust2 13-10 | 9 Nuke 13-1 | 26 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
