CS2 LAB
V1.0
KillsBetter playRisk
Line
26.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
28.36
Hit
58.7%
EV+
+1.7%
Edge
+1.9
L10
50%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
14
Pick
OVER
Projection
15.2
Hit
53.2%
EV+
-7.9%
Edge
+1.2
L10
20%
damyo
Rifler
damyo
Off Chops vs NEXVOID
59%HIT CHANCE
RISK · OVER 26.5
PP26.5
▼ L5 27.4 · L20 28.6Risk · Recent form (L5/L10) leans the other way +1
Hit rates at 26.5 (Over)
L5
60%
3/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
55%
11/20
H2H
100%
1/1
Volatility
Low
±4.57
Previous meeting · vs NEXVOID
1/1 hit · avg 29 kills on Maps 1-2
2026-10-18 · Logitech G Pro Series 2026
Dust2 17-19 · Inferno 9-13 · L
29
Over 26.5 ✓
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
26.6
4/7 hit at 26.5
Online
29.6
7/13 hit at 26.5
Avg kills on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
  • Map veto (currently estimated)
  • Confirm damyo is in the starting five
  • Re-check line: PASS at 26.5
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match schedule
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 27+ kills: 0.625 KPR over ~42 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (55.2%) or blowout (27.8%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
28.36
Raw edge
+1.9
Cons. hit
58.7%
EV+
+1.7%
Rating
4.6/10
Exp. rounds
42.4
Line
26.5
Verdict
Risk
Plain model
58.7%
0 →
Learned
58.7%
learning 0x
Same-line track record · Over 24.5-28.5
All players · Kills
58.3%415 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 65.8% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±3 (pref ±4)
  • Edge +1.9 below ±3.0 minimum
  • Recent form (L5/L10) does not lean the same way
Sharp checks · 5/5 active
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60%off · L10 50.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55%off · L20 55.0% at this line
Game script fits · 42.4 exp. rounds (need 38+) · blowout 28% (under 40%)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
L10 form (4/10 rule) · L10 5/10 at this line · projection 2.8 from his L10 avg
Projection = model only (the replay showed the last-5 blend didn't help)
Evidence & risk

Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 25.6 kills vs line 26.5 (5/10 over). KPR 0.60, HS 54%. Next: vs NEXVOID, LAN.

Strongest: L10 average 25.6 against a 26.5 line

Biggest risk: 28% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)

  • 28% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
  • Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
THIN
  • • Model 28.36 vs line 26.5 → +1.86 (7.0%)
  • • Form L5 60% · L10 50% over this line
  • • Win chance unknown — no favourite adjustment
  • • Expected 42.4 rounds · 2-0 55.2% · OT 10%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
14.28
HS/Map
7.65
K/D
1.04
KPR
0.6
ADR
69.2
KAST
73.6%
HS%
53.6%
Multi-kill
14.6%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Inferno)12.6 · KPR 0.621 · 20.4r
Map 2 (Nuke)15.8 · KPR 0.722 · 22r
Required KPR to clear0.625
Base kills (Maps 1-2)28.55
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-0.69%
Final projected kills28.36
NEXVOID gives up (24 series)+3.4% vs norm
Likely kills totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 26.5. Model: 65.8% before the safety haircut.
131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445line 26.5
Lopsided maps27.8%
~24 kills · 36r28.7%
Normal45.5%
~29 kills · 44r67%
Close maps16.7%
~30 kills · 45r74.6%
Overtime10%
~34 kills · 51r90.9%
Match context
Oct 27, 10:00 PM CTLANDFRAG Invitational 2026
HLTV #131VRS #122HLTV #77VRS #72
Off Chops NEXVOID
Win chance source: —
Win chance unknown — no favourite adjustment
M1 Inferno
20.4r
+3% KPR here
M2 Nuke
22r
+20% KPR here
Total
42.4r
2-0 sweep55.2%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)26.7%
Overtime10%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)27.8%

2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way. Sweep from win chance + his team's 2-0 rate + opponent's 2-0 rate. Rounds & blowout from 40 his-team maps + 30 opponent maps + 2 past-meeting maps.

Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Inferno / Nuke

Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 26.5 (Over) · avg 25.6 · hit 5/10 · tap a bar
26.5
Nearby lines
24.5 Over63.7%
25.5 Over61.8%
26.5 Over58.7%OFFERED
27.5 Over52.5%below BE
28.5 Over47.3%below BE
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 26.5
Line movement
first 26.5→26.5no change
  1. First seen26.5
    Oct 26, 09:41 PM
Map stats
Nuke
9 maps
Kills
16.8
KPR
0.76
HS%
51.7%
K/D
1.2
Inferno
9 maps
Kills
12.6
KPR
0.63
HS%
52.2%
K/D
1.02
Dust2
7 maps
Kills
14.4
KPR
0.62
HS%
57.4%
K/D
0.8
Anubis
6 maps
Kills
11.3
KPR
0.58
HS%
48.5%
K/D
0.88
Cache
3 maps
Kills
14
KPR
0.88
HS%
57.1%
K/D
1.5
Mirage
3 maps
Kills
20.3
KPR
0.9
HS%
60.7%
K/D
1.42
Overpass
2 maps
Kills
13.5
KPR
0.64
HS%
48.1%
K/D
1.23
Ancient
1 maps
Kills
8
KPR
0.5
HS%
50%
K/D
0.57
Recent Maps 1-2 results
DateOppMap 1Map 2TotalTeamPropFlags
2026-10-26Alter Ego12 Inferno 11-138 Ancient 3-1320LUnder ✗BO
2026-10-26Ground Zero15 Dust2 13-816 Anubis 13-731WOver ✓
2026-10-18NEXVOID18 Dust2 17-1911 Inferno 9-1329LOver ✓OT
2026-10-17Rooster22 Nuke 13-711 Cache 13-233WOver ✓BO
2026-10-16Abyssal14 Dust2 13-710 Inferno 13-324WUnder ✗BO
2026-10-16Ground Zero12 Dust2 13-610 Anubis 11-1322SplitUnder ✗
2026-10-16FlyQuest15 Dust2 10-1312 Inferno 16-1927LOver ✓OT
2026-10-13Fruju15 Inferno 13-314 Cache 13-629WOver ✓BO
2026-09-27Rooster13 Anubis 13-67 Nuke 11-1320SplitUnder ✗
2026-09-25Rooster7 Anubis 8-1314 Nuke 3-1321LUnder ✗BO
2026-09-23Mindfreak15 Nuke 13-917 Cache 13-132WOver ✓BO
2026-08-30Arcade13 Nuke 13-710 Inferno 3-1323SplitUnder ✗BO
2026-08-29Rooster17 Dust2 12-1622 Mirage 13-1139SplitOver ✓OT
2026-08-28Rooster10 Anubis 4-1331 Nuke 15-1941LOver ✓OTBO
2026-08-26Rooster13 Inferno 13-212 Anubis 13-425WUnder ✗BO
2026-04-19Rooster14 Overpass 9-1316 Nuke 13-530SplitOver ✓BO
2026-04-19Ding Cuts19 Mirage 13-1021 Nuke 13-1040WOver ✓
2026-04-18Abyssal15 Inferno 13-620 Mirage 13-835WOver ✓
2026-04-18Abyssal13 Overpass 7-1312 Nuke 8-1325LUnder ✗
2026-03-26Ground Zero10 Dust2 4-1315 Inferno 13-425SplitUnder ✗BO
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