KillsRisk
Line
29.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
32.43
Hit
45.7%
EV+
-20.8%
Edge
+2.9
L10
30%
HeadshotsBetter playRisk
Line
14.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
17.09
Hit
50.9%
EV+
-11.9%
Edge
+2.6
L10
40%
ZU
Rifler
zune
Abyssal vs Rooster
RISK · OVER 14.5
▼ L5 10.6 · L20 15.6L10 4/10 BLOCK
Hit rates at 14.5 (Over)
L5
20%
1/5
L10
40%
4/10
L20
55%
11/20
H2H
100%
2/2
Volatility
High
Previous meeting · vs Rooster
2/2 hit · avg 21 headshots on Maps 1-2
2026-08-11 · DFRAG Open Series 6
Inferno 13-9 · Anubis 6-13 · Split
22
Over 14.5 ✓
2026-07-17 · HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026
Nuke 13-9 · Inferno 16-14 · W
20
Over 14.5 ✓
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
12.5
4/11 hit at 14.5
Online
19.3
7/9 hit at 14.5
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2.
Late checks & sources
- Veto confirmed — re-check map order
- Confirm zune is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at —
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 55.5%
prizepicks · Headshots · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 15+ HS: across ~44 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (58.2%) or blowout (29.4%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
17.09
Raw edge
+2.6
Cons. hit
50.9%
EV+
-11.9%
Exp. rounds
43.6
Line
14.5
Verdict
Risk
Same-line track record · Over 12.5-16.5
All players · Headshots
54.6%544 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 14.1 headshots vs line 14.5 (4/10 over). Next: vs Rooster, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 14.1 against a 14.5 line
Biggest risk: 28% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- 28% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 17.09 vs line 14.5 → +2.59 (17.9%)
- • Form L5 20% · L10 40% over this line
- • Expected 43.6 rounds · 2-0 58.2% · OT 7.8%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
14.75
HS/Map
7.78
K/D
0.97
ADR
73.2
KAST
69.4%
Multi-kill
15.7%
Kills projection
Match context
Oct 26, 10:00 PM CTLANDFRAG Invitational 2026
Win chance source: Polymarket 55.5%
M1 Inferno
22r
M2 Mirage
21.6r
Total
43.6r
2-0 sweep58.2%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)18.3%
Overtime7.8%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)29.4%
2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way. Sweep from win chance + his team's 2-0 rate + opponent's 2-0 rate + 2 past meetings + market. Rounds & blowout from 40 his-team maps + 30 opponent maps + 4 past-meeting maps.
Veto confirmed (HLTV): Inferno / Mirage
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 14.5 (Over) · avg 14.1 · hit 4/10 · tap a bar
14.5
Line movement
first 14.5→offno change
- Pulled14.5Oct 26, 10:02 PM
- Back on board14.5 → 14.5Oct 26, 10:01 PM
- Pulled14.5Oct 26, 10:00 PM
- First seen14.5Oct 26, 07:00 PM
Map stats
Inferno
17 maps
Kills
16.7
K/D
1.06
Nuke
6 maps
Kills
12.8
K/D
0.84
Dust2
6 maps
Kills
13.2
K/D
0.86
Anubis
5 maps
Kills
11.4
K/D
0.78
Mirage
3 maps
Kills
18
K/D
1.23
Ancient
2 maps
Kills
13
K/D
1.18
Cache
1 maps
Kills
13
K/D
0.87
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Off Chops | 6 Dust2 7-13 | 1 Inferno 3-13 | 7 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-16 | FlyQuest | 9 Cache 8-13 | 9 Inferno 9-13 | 18 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-16 | Ground Zero | 2 Inferno 3-13 | 4 Ancient 13-6 | 6 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-11 | FlyQuest | 3 Dust2 6-13 | 5 Inferno 8-13 | 8 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-11 | Ground Zero | 4 Inferno 13-8 | 10 Nuke 13-7 | 14 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-11 | KZG | 5 Inferno 13-11 | 6 Dust2 13-8 | 11 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-10 | Mindfreak | 5 Nuke 5-13 | 8 Ancient 13-7 | 13 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-10 | FlyQuest | 5 Dust2 4-13 | 10 Inferno 8-13 | 15 | L | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-26 | Ground Zero | 12 Inferno 11-13 | 20 Dust2 16-12 | 32 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-25 | Arcade | 6 Mirage 13-11 | 11 Inferno 19-15 | 17 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-08-28 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 10 Inferno 8-13 | 5 Anubis 5-13 | 15 | L | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-12 | Ground Zero | 8 Inferno 6-13 | 4 Dust2 6-13 | 12 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-11 | Rooster | 12 Inferno 13-9 | 10 Anubis 6-13 | 22 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-10 | Ground Zero | 9 Nuke 10-13 | 6 Anubis 4-13 | 15 | L | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-07 | FURY | 6 Mirage 13-8 | 16 Inferno 13-9 | 22 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-04 | Finishers | 15 Mirage 13-4 | 10 Nuke 10-13 | 25 | Split | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-03 | Mindfreak | 5 Anubis 13-7 | 9 Inferno 8-13 | 14 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-07-18 | Mindfreak | 11 Inferno 13-9 | 5 Anubis 9-13 | 16 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-07-18 | FlyQuest | 4 Nuke 2-13 | 5 Inferno 3-13 | 9 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-07-17 | Rooster | 6 Nuke 13-9 | 14 Inferno 16-14 | 20 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
