KillsBetter playNeutral
Line
30.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
25.8
Hit
57.7%
EV+
-0.1%
Edge
-4.7
L10
50%
HeadshotsLean
Line
17
Pick
UNDER
Projection
15.12
Hit
53.4%
EV+
-7.5%
Edge
-1.9
L10
50%
vinhy
Rifler
vinhy
Abyssal vs Rooster
53%HIT CHANCE
LEAN · UNDER 17
▼ L5 13.6 · L20 15.9LAN UNDER · 52% hit
Hit rates at 17 (Under)
L5
80%
4/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
63%
12/19
H2H
100%
2/2
Volatility
Medium
Previous meeting · vs Rooster
2/2 hit · avg 13 headshots on Maps 1-2
2026-08-10 · DFRAG Open Series 6
Mirage 13-2 · Dust2 13-6 · W
15
Under 17 ✓
2026-06-09 · DFRAG Open Series 5
Overpass 13-6 · Nuke 7-13 · Split
11
Under 17 ✓
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
15.8
6/9 hit at 17
Online
16
6/10 hit at 17
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2.
Late checks & sources
  • Veto confirmed — re-check map order
  • Confirm vinhy is in the starting five
  • Re-check line: PASS at —
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 56.0%
prizepicks · Headshots · Maps 1-2Lean
What to watch · Stays under with 16 HS or fewer: across ~41 rounds. Main danger: overtime (7.8%) or long close maps add rounds.
Side
Under
Projection
15.12
Raw edge
-1.9
Cons. hit
53.4%
EV+
-7.5%
Exp. rounds
40.9
Line
17
Verdict
Lean
Same-line track record · Under 15-19
All players · Headshots
48.8%441 picks
This player
0%2 picks
Warning: vinhy is 0-2 with us at this line (±2). Being backtested before he's kept out of Top 3 and slips.
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
Evidence & risk

Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 16.9 headshots vs line 17.0 (5/10 over). Next: vs Rooster, LAN.

Strongest: L10 average 16.9 against a 17.0 line

Biggest risk: Short maps lately — 19.8 rounds per map for these teams

  • Short maps lately — 19.8 rounds per map for these teams
  • 31% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
  • • Model 15.12 vs line 17 → -1.88 (-11.1%)
  • • Form L5 80% · L10 50% under this line
  • • Expected 40.9 rounds · 2-0 58.2% · OT 7.8%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
13.7
HS/Map
8.03
K/D
0.94
ADR
76.9
KAST
69.8%
Multi-kill
16.4%
Kills projection
Match context
Oct 26, 10:00 PM CTLANDFRAG Invitational 2026
HLTV #129VRS #129HLTV #167VRS #146
Win chance source: Polymarket 56.0%
M1 Inferno
21.1r
M2 Mirage
19.8r
Total
40.9r
2-0 sweep58.2%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)23.5%
Overtime7.8%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)31.9%

2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way. Sweep from win chance + his team's 2-0 rate + opponent's 2-0 rate + 2 past meetings + market. Rounds & blowout from 40 his-team maps + 30 opponent maps + 4 past-meeting maps.

Veto confirmed (HLTV): Inferno / Mirage

Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 17 (Under) · avg 16.9 · hit 5/10 · tap a bar
17
Line movement
first 17→offno change
  1. Pulled17
    Oct 26, 10:02 PM
  2. Back on board17 → 17
    Oct 26, 10:01 PM
  3. Pulled17
    Oct 26, 10:00 PM
  4. First seen17
    Oct 26, 07:00 PM
Map stats
Inferno
12 maps
Kills
13.8
K/D
0.84
Dust2
7 maps
Kills
13.6
K/D
0.91
Nuke
6 maps
Kills
15.3
K/D
1
Mirage
6 maps
Kills
12.2
K/D
0.99
Ancient
4 maps
Kills
16.8
K/D
1.43
Overpass
2 maps
Kills
9.5
K/D
0.73
Anubis
2 maps
Kills
13.5
K/D
0.93
Cache
1 maps
Kills
9
K/D
0.53
Recent Maps 1-2 results
DateOppMap 1Map 2TotalTeamPropFlags
2026-10-16Off Chops4 Dust2 7-137 Inferno 3-1311LUnder ✓BO
2026-10-16FlyQuest6 Cache 8-135 Inferno 9-1311LUnder ✓
2026-10-16Ground Zero5 Inferno 3-1311 Ancient 13-616SplitUnder ✓BO
2026-10-11FlyQuest3 Dust2 6-139 Inferno 8-1312LUnder ✓
2026-10-11Ground Zero10 Inferno 13-88 Nuke 13-718WOver ✗
2026-10-11KZG9 Inferno 13-1114 Dust2 13-823WOver ✗
2026-10-10Mindfreak10 Nuke 5-1316 Ancient 13-726SplitOver ✗BO
2026-10-10FlyQuest7 Dust2 4-135 Inferno 8-1312LUnder ✓BO
2026-09-26Ground Zero6 Inferno 11-1313 Dust2 16-1219SplitOver ✗OT
2026-09-25Arcade11 Mirage 13-1110 Inferno 19-1521WOver ✗OT
2026-08-13Ground Zero4 Ancient 1-138 Anubis 8-1312LUnder ✓BO
2026-08-10Rooster7 Mirage 13-28 Dust2 13-615WUnder ✓BO
2026-08-07Arcade7 Mirage 13-611 Inferno 16-1418WOver ✗OT
2026-08-06Ground Zero4 Mirage 0-139 Dust2 11-1313LUnder ✓BO
2026-08-05Arcade9 Mirage 13-107 Nuke 7-1316SplitUnder ✓
2026-07-17Mindfreak8 Nuke 6-135 Mirage 13-613SplitUnder ✓
2026-06-12MARKandLARRY8 Inferno 13-76 Overpass 6-1314SplitUnder ✓
2026-06-09Rooster3 Overpass 13-68 Nuke 7-1311SplitUnder ✓
2026-06-08MGLBROS11 Inferno 13-210 Nuke 13-921WOver ✗BO
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