CS2 LAB
V1.0
KillsRisk
Line
33
Pick
OVER
Projection
37.74
Hit
58.1%
EV+
+0.6%
Edge
+4.7
L10
40%
HeadshotsBetter playTake
Line
12
Pick
OVER
Projection
14.87
Hit
65.4%
EV+
+13.3%
Edge
+2.9
L10
70%
lattykk
AWPer
lattykk
Color vs ex-Zero Tenacity
65%HIT CHANCE
TAKE · OVER 12
PP12
▼ L5 12.6 · L20 13.3
Hit rates at 12 (Over)
L5
60%
3/5
L10
70%
7/10
L20
55%
11/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Low
±3.26
Previous meeting · vs ex-Zero Tenacity
No meeting with ex-Zero Tenacity in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN
10.7
1/3 hit at 12
Online · this match
13.8
10/17 hit at 12
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
  • Map veto (currently estimated)
  • Confirm lattykk is in the starting five
  • Re-check line: PASS at 13
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 50.0%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Headshots · Maps 1-2Take
What to watch · Needs 13+ HS (~33 kills at 39.4% HS): 0.628 KPR over ~49 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (55%) or blowout (20%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
14.87
Raw edge
+2.9
Cons. hit
65.4%
EV+
+13.3%
Rating
9.5/10
Exp. rounds
48.5
Line
12
Verdict
Take
Plain model
65.4%
0 →
Learned
65.4%
learning 0x
Same-line track record · Over 10-14
All players · Headshots
53.9%230 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 81.1% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±2 (pref ±2.5)
Clears edge, form, EV+, volatility and every sharp check
Sharp checks · 5/5 active
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60%off · L10 70.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55%off · L20 55.0% at this line
Game script fits · 48.5 exp. rounds (need 38+) · blowout 20% (under 40%) · team 50% to win (20%+)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
L10 form (4/10 rule) · L10 7/10 at this line · projection 1.6 from his L10 avg
Projection = model only (the replay showed the last-5 blend didn't help)
Evidence & risk

Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 13.3 headshots vs line 12.0 (7/10 over). KPR 0.72, HS 39%. Next: vs ex-Zero Tenacity, LAN/Online unknown.

Strongest: L10 average 13.3 against a 12.0 line

Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency

  • Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
TAKE OVER
Value
VALUE
  • • Model 14.87 vs line 12 → +2.87 (23.9%)
  • • Form L5 60% · L10 70% over this line
  • • Close match (45–65%) → +1.0 rounds/map (learned from 24 real matches) · kill rate −3% KPR
  • • Expected 48.5 rounds · 2-0 55% · OT 16.7%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
16.95
HS/Map
6.67
K/D
1.34
KPR
0.72
ADR
74.5
KAST
73.3%
HS%
39.4%
Multi-kill
18.5%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Dust2)8.1 · KPR 0.831 · 24.7r
Map 2 (Mirage)6.7 · KPR 0.715 · 23.8r
Required KPR to clear0.628
Base kills (Maps 1-2)37.54
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.+0.54%
Final projected kills37.74
× realistic HS% (39.4%)14.87
ex-Zero Tenacity gives up (62 series)-4.4% vs norm
Likely HS totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 12. Model: 81.1% before the safety haircut.
56789101112131415161718192021222324252627line 12
Lopsided maps20%
~13 HS · 41r47.9%
Normal49.2%
~15 HS · 48r68.9%
Close maps14.1%
~16 HS · 52r79.4%
Overtime16.7%
~18 HS · 58r89.3%
Match context
Oct 25, 1:00 PM CTOnline
VRS #76HLTV #67VRS #78
Color 50%50% ex-Zero Tenacity
Win chance source: Polymarket 50.0%
Close match (45–65%) → +1.0 rounds/map (learned from 24 real matches) · kill rate −3% KPR
Game scriptIdeal Over range — team 50% to win (40-70%), competitive maps expected.
M1 Dust2
24.7r
+19% KPR here
M2 Mirage
23.8r
+2% KPR here
Total
48.5r
2-0 sweep55%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)30.8%
Overtime16.7%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)20%

2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way.

Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Dust2 / Mirage

Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 12 (Over) · avg 13.3 · hit 7/10 · tap a bar
12
Nearby lines
10 Over67%
11 Over66.7%
12 Over65.4%OFFERED
13 Over62.5%
14 Over58%
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 13
Line movement
first 12→12no change
  1. First seen12
    Oct 24, 03:30 PM
Map stats
Dust2
14 maps
Kills
21.4
KPR
0.88
HS%
42.7%
K/D
1.67
Mirage
7 maps
Kills
17.3
KPR
0.74
HS%
39.7%
K/D
1.22
Cache
5 maps
Kills
14.2
KPR
0.71
HS%
28.2%
K/D
1.22
Inferno
5 maps
Kills
10.4
KPR
0.57
HS%
50%
K/D
0.85
Anubis
5 maps
Kills
16.8
KPR
0.68
HS%
32.1%
K/D
1.25
Ancient
4 maps
Kills
12.5
KPR
0.68
HS%
36%
K/D
1.22
Recent Maps 1-2 results
DateOppMap 1Map 2TotalTeamPropFlags
2026-10-21The MongolZ5 Inferno 9-1312 Ancient 10-1317LOver ✓
2026-10-20Liquid2 Anubis 13-107 Dust2 13-109WUnder ✗
2026-10-19PARIVISION2 Mirage 4-134 Ancient 2-136LUnder ✗BO
2026-09-27Nemiga4 Cache 5-1312 Dust2 13-916SplitOver ✓BO
2026-09-26WW7 Dust2 13-88 Mirage 16-1415WOver ✓OT
2026-09-20Color9 Anubis 16-144 Mirage 13-1013WOver ✓OT
2026-09-18Color5 Dust2 13-117 Mirage 16-1312WUnder ✗OT
2026-09-14Sashi11 Dust2 13-64 Cache 10-1315SplitOver ✓
2026-09-13INOX Division3 Inferno 13-412 Dust2 16-1415WOver ✓OTBO
2026-09-12Color5 Inferno 13-710 Dust2 11-1315SplitOver ✓
2026-09-08Nemiga19 Dust2 13-168 Anubis 6-1327LOver ✓OT
2026-09-03HEROIC11 Dust2 6-139 Inferno 5-1320LOver ✓BO
2026-09-02DENDELE11 Mirage 13-84 Cache 6-1315SplitOver ✓
2026-09-02Color5 Dust2 11-135 Mirage 13-910SplitUnder ✗
2026-09-01Nuclear TigeRES6 Dust2 13-94 Inferno 2-1310SplitUnder ✗BO
2026-08-28Color4 Cache 13-74 Cache 13-78WUnder ✗
2026-08-25Color1 Ancient 13-25 Dust2 13-116WUnder ✗BO
2026-08-24Color1 Ancient 13-86 Anubis 14-167SplitUnder ✗OT
2026-08-23Color13 Dust2 19-2211 Mirage 8-1324LOver ✓OT
2026-08-21Color5 Dust2 13-42 Anubis 13-97WUnder ✗BO
CS2 Lab is 21+

Stats and analysis for CS2 props — not betting advice and no guarantee of results. Only play where it's legal, and never more than you can afford to lose.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

We'd like to record anonymous sessions (clicks and page views, no names) to fix bugs. You choose — see Privacy.

Install CS2 Lab
Full screen, one tap from your home screen, live alerts