HeadshotsPlayable
Line
12.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
14.91
Hit
64.5%
EV+
+11.8%
Edge
+2.4
L10
80%
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Rifler
Zero
TYLOO vs FUT
PLAYABLE · OVER 12.5
SAME LINE ON ALL APPSPP12.5UD12.5
▲ L5 17.6 · L20 15.0
Hit rates at 12.5 (Over)
L5
100%
5/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
81%
13/16
H2H
100%
1/1
Volatility
Low
±3.75
Previous meeting · vs FUT
1/1 hit · avg 18 headshots on Maps 1-2
2026-10-24 · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026
Nuke 9-13 · Ancient 6-13 · L
18
Over 12.5 ✓
LAN vs online form
LAN
15.7
10/11 hit at 12.5
Online · this match
13.4
3/5 hit at 12.5
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm Zero is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at 13
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match schedule
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Headshots · Maps 1-2Playable
What to watch · Needs 13+ HS (~23 kills at 56.6% HS): 0.565 KPR over ~39 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (57.5%) or blowout (29.7%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
14.91
Raw edge
+2.4
Cons. hit
64.5%
EV+
+11.8%
Rating
8.9/10
Exp. rounds
39.1
Line
12.5
Verdict
Playable
Plain model
64.5%
0 →
Learned
64.5%
what past results change
learning 0x
learning 0x
Same-line track record · Over 10.5-14.5
All players · Headshots
55.1%314 picks
This player
100%3 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 74% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±2 (pref ±2.5)
Clears edge, form, EV+, volatility and every sharp check
Sharp checks · 5/5 active
Big enough sample · 16 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60%off · L10 80.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55%off · L20 81.2% at this line
Game script fits · 39.1 exp. rounds (need 38+) · blowout 30% (under 40%)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
L10 form (4/10 rule) · L10 8/10 at this line · projection 0.2 from his L10 avg
Projection = model only (the replay showed the last-5 blend didn't help)
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 15.1 headshots vs line 14.0 (5/10 over). KPR 0.65, HS 57%. Next: vs FUT, LAN/Online unknown.
Strongest: L10 average 15.1 against a 14.0 line
Biggest risk: 31% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- 31% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
TAKE OVER
Value
VALUE
- • Model 14.91 vs line 12.5 → +2.41 (19.3%)
- • Form L5 100% · L10 80% over this line
- • Win chance unknown — no favourite adjustment
- • Expected 39.1 rounds · 2-0 57.5% · OT 1.4%
Performance (last 32 maps)
Kills/Map
13.25
HS/Map
7.5
K/D
1.09
KPR
0.65
ADR
73.4
KAST
69.3%
HS%
56.6%
Multi-kill
17.2%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Mirage)7.6 · KPR 0.717 · 19r
Map 2 (Ancient)7.3 · KPR 0.655 · 20.1r
Required KPR to clear0.565
Base kills (Maps 1-2)26.79
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-1.65%
Final projected kills26.35
× realistic HS% (56.6%)14.91
FUT gives up (43 series)+1.4% vs norm
Likely HS totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 12.5. Model: 74% before the safety haircut.
Lopsided maps29.7%
~13 HS · 33r48.3%
Normal58.3%
~16 HS · 42r79.1%
Close maps10.6%
~16 HS · 42r79.7%
Overtime1.4%
~18 HS · 48r91.2%
Match context
Oct 24, 2:00 AM CTOnline
Win chance source: —
Win chance unknown — no favourite adjustment
M1 Mirage
19r
+10% KPR here
M2 Ancient
20.1r
+1% KPR here
Total
39.1r
2-0 sweep57.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)12%
Overtime1.4%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)29.7%
2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way.
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Mirage / Ancient
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 12.5 (Over) · avg 15.1 · hit 8/10 · tap a bar
12.5
Nearby lines
| 10.5 Over | 66.8% | |
| 11.5 Over | 65.8% | |
| 12.5 Over | 64.5% | OFFERED |
| 13.5 Over | 59.7% | |
| 14.5 Over | 53% | below BE |
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 13
Line movement
first 14→12.5-1.5
- Back on board14 → 12.5Oct 24, 04:06 PM
- Pulled14Oct 24, 02:00 AM
- First seen14Oct 23, 07:00 PM
Map stats
Mirage
10 maps
Kills
13.5
KPR
0.74
HS%
51.1%
K/D
1.3
Inferno
7 maps
Kills
13.3
KPR
0.65
HS%
55.9%
K/D
1.08
Ancient
7 maps
Kills
12.9
KPR
0.66
HS%
53.3%
K/D
1.01
Nuke
5 maps
Kills
13.4
KPR
0.63
HS%
71.6%
K/D
0.99
Cache
2 maps
Kills
10.5
KPR
0.53
HS%
52.4%
K/D
0.81
Anubis
1 maps
Kills
18
KPR
0.9
HS%
66.7%
K/D
1.2
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | FUT | 15 Nuke 9-13 | 3 Ancient 6-13 | 18 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-05 | M80 | 15 Mirage 13-10 | 3 Cache 7-13 | 18 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-04 | 9z | 11 Nuke 10-13 | 2 Mirage 2-13 | 13 | L | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-03 | Falcons | 6 Mirage 11-13 | 12 Anubis 7-13 | 18 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-10 | Alliance | 11 Inferno 11-13 | 10 Ancient 11-13 | 21 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-09 | GamerLegion | 6 Ancient 13-7 | 8 Mirage 13-6 | 14 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-08 | PARIVISION | 6 Inferno 11-13 | 7 Ancient 4-13 | 13 | L | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-02 | DEPO | 5 Mirage 13-2 | 12 Inferno 13-2 | 17 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-02 | Kaleido | 6 Mirage 13-5 | 5 Inferno 13-9 | 11 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-08-14 | Lynn Vision | 6 Nuke 8-13 | 2 Inferno 4-13 | 8 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-07-12 | Lynn Vision | 8 Ancient 13-6 | 7 Inferno 10-13 | 15 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-07-11 | The Huns | 6 Ancient 13-9 | 5 Mirage 13-2 | 11 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-07-10 | The MongolZ Academy | 8 Ancient 13-3 | 5 Mirage 13-1 | 13 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-07-09 | 9z | 7 Nuke 9-13 | 8 Mirage 13-7 | 15 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-07-03 | EYEBALLERS | 9 Nuke 13-6 | 8 Cache 13-7 | 17 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-06-09 | Legacy | 9 Mirage 7-13 | 9 Inferno 4-13 | 18 | L | Over ✓ | BO |
