KillsRisk
Line
28.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
28.26
Hit
45.7%
EV+
-14.4%
Edge
-0.2
L10
60%
HeadshotsBetter playRisk
Line
14.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
14.72
Hit
46.6%
EV+
-12.9%
Edge
+0.2
L10
50%
Rifler
tomaszin
Made in Brazil vs Inner Circle Esports
RISK · OVER 14.5
SAME LINE ON ALL APPSPP14.5UD14.5
▼ L5 13.4 · L20 14.4
Hit rates at 14.5 (Over)
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
45%
9/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Low
Previous meeting · vs Inner Circle Esports
No meeting with Inner Circle Esports in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
13.8
7/16 hit at 14.5
Online
16.8
2/4 hit at 14.5
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm tomaszin is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at —
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 60.5%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
underdog · Headshots · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 15+ HS: across ~44 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (55.7%) or blowout (20.1%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
14.72
Raw edge
+0.2
Cons. hit
46.6%
EV+
-12.9%
Exp. rounds
44
Line
14.5
Verdict
Risk
Same-line track record · Over 12.5-16.5
All players · Headshots
54.8%549 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 14.8 headshots vs line 14.5 (5/10 over). Next: vs Inner Circle, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 14.8 against a 14.5 line
Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 14.72 vs line 14.5 → +0.22 (1.5%)
- • Form L5 20% · L10 50% over this line
- • Expected 44 rounds · 2-0 55.7% · OT 14.4%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
13.82
HS/Map
7.2
K/D
0.94
ADR
75.4
KAST
77.1%
Multi-kill
15.1%
Kills projection
Inner Circle Esports gives up (83 series)-3.7% vs norm
Match context
Oct 28, 1:30 PM CTLANStake Ranked Episode 5
Win chance source: Polymarket 60.5%
M1 Ancient
22.8r
M2 Mirage
21.3r
Total
44r
2-0 sweep55.7%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)30.8%
Overtime14.4%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)20.1%
2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way. Sweep from win chance + his team's 2-0 rate + opponent's 2-0 rate + market. Rounds & blowout from 40 his-team maps + 20 opponent maps + 0 past-meeting maps.
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Ancient / Mirage
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 14.5 (Over) · avg 14.8 · hit 5/10 · tap a bar
14.5
Line movement
first 14.5→14.5no change
- First seen14.5Oct 27, 08:04 PM
Map stats
Ancient
9 maps
Kills
15.6
K/D
1.05
Mirage
9 maps
Kills
13
K/D
0.89
Cache
7 maps
Kills
13.7
K/D
0.83
Nuke
7 maps
Kills
13
K/D
0.91
Inferno
6 maps
Kills
14.5
K/D
1.21
Anubis
2 maps
Kills
11
K/D
0.63
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Eternal Fire | 10 Ancient 10-13 | 5 Mirage 13-10 | 15 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-17 | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 5 Mirage 2-13 | 9 Cache 19-17 | 14 | Split | Under ✗ | OTBO |
| 2026-10-17 | 100 Thieves | 9 Nuke 13-8 | 5 Mirage 13-10 | 14 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-16 | Astralis | 5 Inferno 8-13 | 7 Cache 16-14 | 12 | Split | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-10-15 | BC.Game | 9 Mirage 13-5 | 3 Ancient 7-13 | 12 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-15 | Envy | 4 Anubis 13-7 | 12 Ancient 13-5 | 16 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-15 | BC.Game | 11 Cache 12-16 | 3 Ancient 13-10 | 14 | Split | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-09-19 | FURIA | 6 Mirage 8-13 | 10 Nuke 11-13 | 16 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-19 | NRG | 9 Cache 13-7 | 7 Inferno 13-2 | 16 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-18 | magic | 7 Ancient 13-8 | 12 Mirage 11-13 | 19 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-17 | FURIA | 7 Inferno 13-11 | 3 Nuke 6-13 | 10 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-12 | Legacy | 6 Nuke 10-13 | 7 Ancient 13-11 | 13 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-11 | Alliance | 7 Inferno 13-4 | 8 Cache 13-9 | 15 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-10 | BetBoom | 4 Mirage 9-13 | 8 Anubis 14-16 | 12 | L | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-09-09 | 9z | 8 Mirage 13-6 | 7 Nuke 13-7 | 15 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-08 | The MongolZ | 0 Ancient 5-13 | 8 Mirage 13-10 | 8 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-03 | K27 | 7 Cache 6-13 | 6 Nuke 6-13 | 13 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-03 | EYEBALLERS | 11 Ancient 16-14 | 6 Inferno 13-8 | 17 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-02 | 3DMAX | 7 Cache 13-8 | 7 Nuke 13-6 | 14 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-02 | Eternal Fire | 13 Ancient 16-19 | 10 Inferno 13-8 | 23 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
