KillsBetter playNeutral
Line
30.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
25.8
Hit
57.7%
EV+
-0.1%
Edge
-4.7
L10
50%
HeadshotsLean
Line
17
Pick
UNDER
Projection
15.12
Hit
53.4%
EV+
-7.5%
Edge
-1.9
L10
50%
Rifler
vinhy
Abyssal vs Rooster
NEUTRAL · UNDER 30.5
▼ L5 23.0 · L20 27.3LAN UNDER · 52% hit
Hit rates at 30.5 (Under)
L5
80%
4/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
68%
13/19
H2H
100%
2/2
Volatility
High
Previous meeting · vs Rooster
2/2 hit · avg 23 kills on Maps 1-2
2026-08-10 · DFRAG Open Series 6
Mirage 13-2 · Dust2 13-6 · W
23
Under 30.5 ✓
2026-06-09 · DFRAG Open Series 5
Overpass 13-6 · Nuke 7-13 · Split
23
Under 30.5 ✓
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
27
6/9 hit at 30.5
Online
27.5
7/10 hit at 30.5
Avg kills on Maps 1-2.
Late checks & sources
- Veto confirmed — re-check map order
- Confirm vinhy is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at —
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 56.0%
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Neutral
What to watch · Stays under with 30 kills or fewer: across ~41 rounds. Main danger: overtime (7.8%) or long close maps add rounds.
Side
Under
Projection
25.8
Raw edge
-4.7
Cons. hit
57.7%
EV+
-0.1%
Exp. rounds
40.9
Line
30.5
Verdict
Neutral
Same-line track record · Under 28.5-32.5
All players · Kills
50.2%584 picks
This player
0%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 28.9 kills vs line 30.5 (5/10 over). Next: vs Rooster, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 28.9 against a 30.5 line
Biggest risk: Short maps lately — 19.8 rounds per map for these teams
- Short maps lately — 19.8 rounds per map for these teams
- 31% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 25.8 vs line 30.5 → -4.7 (-15.4%)
- • Form L5 80% · L10 50% under this line
- • Expected 40.9 rounds · 2-0 58.2% · OT 7.8%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
13.7
HS/Map
8.03
K/D
0.94
ADR
76.9
KAST
69.8%
Multi-kill
16.4%
Kills projection
Match context
Oct 26, 10:00 PM CTLANDFRAG Invitational 2026
Win chance source: Polymarket 56.0%
M1 Inferno
21.1r
M2 Mirage
19.8r
Total
40.9r
2-0 sweep58.2%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)23.5%
Overtime7.8%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)31.9%
2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way. Sweep from win chance + his team's 2-0 rate + opponent's 2-0 rate + 2 past meetings + market. Rounds & blowout from 40 his-team maps + 30 opponent maps + 4 past-meeting maps.
Veto confirmed (HLTV): Inferno / Mirage
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 30.5 (Under) · avg 28.9 · hit 5/10 · tap a bar
30.5
Line movement
first 30.5→offno change
- Pulled30.5Oct 26, 10:02 PM
- Back on board30.5 → 30.5Oct 26, 10:01 PM
- Pulled30.5Oct 26, 10:00 PM
- First seen30.5Oct 26, 07:00 PM
Map stats
Inferno
12 maps
Kills
13.8
K/D
0.84
Dust2
7 maps
Kills
13.6
K/D
0.91
Nuke
6 maps
Kills
15.3
K/D
1
Mirage
6 maps
Kills
12.2
K/D
0.99
Ancient
4 maps
Kills
16.8
K/D
1.43
Overpass
2 maps
Kills
9.5
K/D
0.73
Anubis
2 maps
Kills
13.5
K/D
0.93
Cache
1 maps
Kills
9
K/D
0.53
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Off Chops | 11 Dust2 7-13 | 8 Inferno 3-13 | 19 | L | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-16 | FlyQuest | 9 Cache 8-13 | 7 Inferno 9-13 | 16 | L | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-10-16 | Ground Zero | 9 Inferno 3-13 | 19 Ancient 13-6 | 28 | Split | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-11 | FlyQuest | 5 Dust2 6-13 | 13 Inferno 8-13 | 18 | L | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-10-11 | Ground Zero | 17 Inferno 13-8 | 17 Nuke 13-7 | 34 | W | Over ✗ | |
| 2026-10-11 | KZG | 18 Inferno 13-11 | 23 Dust2 13-8 | 41 | W | Over ✗ | |
| 2026-10-10 | Mindfreak | 18 Nuke 5-13 | 25 Ancient 13-7 | 43 | Split | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-10 | FlyQuest | 10 Dust2 4-13 | 11 Inferno 8-13 | 21 | L | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-26 | Ground Zero | 13 Inferno 11-13 | 22 Dust2 16-12 | 35 | Split | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2026-09-25 | Arcade | 18 Mirage 13-11 | 16 Inferno 19-15 | 34 | W | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2026-08-13 | Ground Zero | 6 Ancient 1-13 | 14 Anubis 8-13 | 20 | L | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-10 | Rooster | 11 Mirage 13-2 | 12 Dust2 13-6 | 23 | W | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-07 | Arcade | 14 Mirage 13-6 | 22 Inferno 16-14 | 36 | W | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2026-08-06 | Ground Zero | 6 Mirage 0-13 | 12 Dust2 11-13 | 18 | L | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-05 | Arcade | 15 Mirage 13-10 | 15 Nuke 7-13 | 30 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-07-17 | Mindfreak | 14 Nuke 6-13 | 9 Mirage 13-6 | 23 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-06-12 | MARKandLARRY | 17 Inferno 13-7 | 9 Overpass 6-13 | 26 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-06-09 | Rooster | 10 Overpass 13-6 | 13 Nuke 7-13 | 23 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-06-08 | MGLBROS | 15 Inferno 13-2 | 15 Nuke 13-9 | 30 | W | Under ✓ | BO |
