KillsRisk
Line
29.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
32.43
Hit
45.7%
EV+
-20.8%
Edge
+2.9
L10
30%
HeadshotsBetter playRisk
Line
14.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
17.09
Hit
50.9%
EV+
-11.9%
Edge
+2.6
L10
40%
Rifler
zune
Abyssal vs Rooster
RISK · OVER 29.5
▼ L5 22.8 · L20 29.5L10 4/10 BLOCK
Hit rates at 29.5 (Over)
L5
20%
1/5
L10
30%
3/10
L20
40%
8/20
H2H
100%
2/2
Volatility
High
Previous meeting · vs Rooster
2/2 hit · avg 38 kills on Maps 1-2
2026-08-11 · DFRAG Open Series 6
Inferno 13-9 · Anubis 6-13 · Split
39
Over 29.5 ✓
2026-07-17 · HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026
Nuke 13-9 · Inferno 16-14 · W
37
Over 29.5 ✓
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
24.6
2/11 hit at 29.5
Online
35.4
6/9 hit at 29.5
Avg kills on Maps 1-2.
Late checks & sources
- Veto confirmed — re-check map order
- Confirm zune is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at —
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 56.0%
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 30+ kills: across ~44 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (58.2%) or blowout (29.5%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
32.43
Raw edge
+2.9
Cons. hit
45.7%
EV+
-20.8%
Exp. rounds
43.6
Line
29.5
Verdict
Risk
Same-line track record · Over 27.5-31.5
All players · Kills
50.9%670 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 28.8 kills vs line 29.5 (3/10 over). Next: vs Rooster, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 28.8 against a 29.5 line
Biggest risk: 28% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- 28% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 32.43 vs line 29.5 → +2.93 (9.9%)
- • Form L5 20% · L10 30% over this line
- • Expected 43.6 rounds · 2-0 58.2% · OT 7.8%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
14.75
HS/Map
7.78
K/D
0.97
ADR
73.2
KAST
69.4%
Multi-kill
15.7%
Kills projection
Match context
Oct 26, 10:00 PM CTLANDFRAG Invitational 2026
Win chance source: Polymarket 56.0%
M1 Inferno
22r
M2 Mirage
21.6r
Total
43.6r
2-0 sweep58.2%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)18.3%
Overtime7.8%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)29.5%
2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way. Sweep from win chance + his team's 2-0 rate + opponent's 2-0 rate + 2 past meetings + market. Rounds & blowout from 40 his-team maps + 30 opponent maps + 4 past-meeting maps.
Veto confirmed (HLTV): Inferno / Mirage
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 29.5 (Over) · avg 28.8 · hit 3/10 · tap a bar
29.5
Line movement
first 29.5→offno change
- Pulled29.5Oct 26, 10:02 PM
- Back on board29.5 → 29.5Oct 26, 10:01 PM
- Pulled29.5Oct 26, 10:00 PM
- First seen29.5Oct 26, 07:00 PM
Map stats
Inferno
17 maps
Kills
16.7
K/D
1.06
Nuke
6 maps
Kills
12.8
K/D
0.84
Dust2
6 maps
Kills
13.2
K/D
0.86
Anubis
5 maps
Kills
11.4
K/D
0.78
Mirage
3 maps
Kills
18
K/D
1.23
Ancient
2 maps
Kills
13
K/D
1.18
Cache
1 maps
Kills
13
K/D
0.87
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Off Chops | 12 Dust2 7-13 | 4 Inferno 3-13 | 16 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-16 | FlyQuest | 13 Cache 8-13 | 15 Inferno 9-13 | 28 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-16 | Ground Zero | 5 Inferno 3-13 | 9 Ancient 13-6 | 14 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-11 | FlyQuest | 6 Dust2 6-13 | 18 Inferno 8-13 | 24 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-11 | Ground Zero | 13 Inferno 13-8 | 19 Nuke 13-7 | 32 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-11 | KZG | 17 Inferno 13-11 | 10 Dust2 13-8 | 27 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-10 | Mindfreak | 8 Nuke 5-13 | 17 Ancient 13-7 | 25 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-10 | FlyQuest | 10 Dust2 4-13 | 15 Inferno 8-13 | 25 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-26 | Ground Zero | 22 Inferno 11-13 | 31 Dust2 16-12 | 53 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-25 | Arcade | 17 Mirage 13-11 | 27 Inferno 19-15 | 44 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-08-28 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16 Inferno 8-13 | 7 Anubis 5-13 | 23 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-08-12 | Ground Zero | 13 Inferno 6-13 | 10 Dust2 6-13 | 23 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-08-11 | Rooster | 23 Inferno 13-9 | 16 Anubis 6-13 | 39 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-10 | Ground Zero | 15 Nuke 10-13 | 12 Anubis 4-13 | 27 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-08-07 | FURY | 15 Mirage 13-8 | 24 Inferno 13-9 | 39 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-08-04 | Finishers | 22 Mirage 13-4 | 19 Nuke 10-13 | 41 | Split | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-08-03 | Mindfreak | 14 Anubis 13-7 | 16 Inferno 8-13 | 30 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-07-18 | Mindfreak | 18 Inferno 13-9 | 8 Anubis 9-13 | 26 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-07-18 | FlyQuest | 6 Nuke 2-13 | 11 Inferno 3-13 | 17 | L | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-07-17 | Rooster | 10 Nuke 13-9 | 27 Inferno 16-14 | 37 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
