CS2 LAB
V1.0
KillsRisk
Line
28
Pick
OVER
Projection
28.83
Hit
52.7%
EV+
-8.8%
Edge
+0.8
L10
50%
Loading…
AccuracyTG
AWPer
AccuracyTG
NEXVOID vs Off Chops
53%HIT CHANCE
RISK · OVER 28
PP28
▼ L5 25.0 · L20 29.7Risk · Recent form (L5/L10) leans the other way +1
Hit rates at 28 (Over)
L5
20%
1/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
65%
13/20
H2H
100%
1/1
Volatility
Medium
±7.52
Previous meeting · vs Off Chops
1/1 hit · avg 41 kills on Maps 1-2
2026-10-18 · Logitech G Pro Series 2026
Dust2 19-17 · Inferno 13-9 · W
41
Over 28 ✓
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
28.1
7/13 hit at 28
Online
32.7
6/7 hit at 28
Avg kills on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
  • Map veto (currently estimated)
  • Confirm AccuracyTG is in the starting five
  • Re-check line: PASS at 28
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match schedule
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 29+ kills: 0.645 KPR over ~43 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (58.5%) or blowout (23.1%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
28.83
Raw edge
+0.8
Cons. hit
52.7%
EV+
-8.8%
Rating
1.8/10
Exp. rounds
43.4
Line
28
Verdict
Risk
Plain model
52.7%
0 →
Learned
52.7%
learning 0x
Same-line track record · Over 26-30
All players · Kills
57.5%445 picks
This player
—0 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 54.4% → −8% haircut · cap 68% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±3 (pref ±4)
  • Edge +0.8 below ±3.0 minimum
  • Recent form (L5/L10) does not lean the same way
  • EV+ not positive at current payout
Sharp checks · 5/5 active
Big enough sample · 20 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60%off · L10 50.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55%off · L20 65.0% at this line
Game script fits · 43.4 exp. rounds (need 38+) · blowout 23% (under 40%)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
L10 form (4/10 rule) · L10 5/10 at this line · projection 1.0 from his L10 avg
Projection = model only (the replay showed the last-5 blend didn't help)
Evidence & risk

Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 27.8 kills vs line 28.0 (5/10 over). KPR 0.65, HS 29%. Next: vs Off Chops, LAN.

Strongest: L10 average 27.8 against a 28.0 line

Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency

  • Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
  • • Model 28.83 vs line 28 → +0.83 (3.0%)
  • • Form L5 20% · L10 50% over this line
  • • Win chance unknown — no favourite adjustment
  • • Expected 43.4 rounds · 2-0 58.5% · OT 12.2%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
14.85
HS/Map
4.38
K/D
1.09
KPR
0.65
ADR
62.6
KAST
71.9%
HS%
29.5%
Multi-kill
15.9%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Ancient)14.2 · KPR 0.633 · 22.4r
Map 2 (Inferno)14.7 · KPR 0.7 · 21r
Required KPR to clear0.645
Base kills (Maps 1-2)28.88
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-0.16%
Final projected kills28.83
Likely kills totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 28. Model: 54.4% before the safety haircut.
1213141516171819202122232425262728293031323334353637383940414243444546474849line 28
Lopsided maps23.1%
~24 kills · 37r23.7%
Normal54.4%
~29 kills · 44r51.1%
Close maps10.3%
~31 kills · 46r61.2%
Overtime12.2%
~35 kills · 52r79.7%
Match context
Oct 27, 10:00 PM CTLANDFRAG Invitational 2026
HLTV #77VRS #72HLTV #131VRS #122
NEXVOID Off Chops
Win chance source: —
Win chance unknown — no favourite adjustment
M1 Ancient
22.4r
-3% KPR here
M2 Inferno
21r
+8% KPR here
Total
43.4r
2-0 sweep58.5%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)22.5%
Overtime12.2%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)23.1%

2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way. Sweep from win chance + his team's 2-0 rate + opponent's 2-0 rate. Rounds & blowout from 40 his-team maps + 16 opponent maps + 2 past-meeting maps.

Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Ancient / Inferno

Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 28 (Over) · avg 27.8 · hit 5/10 · tap a bar
28
Nearby lines
26 Over61%
27 Over57.4%below BE
28 Over52.7%OFFERED
29 Over47.5%below BE
30 Over44.3%below BE
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 28
Line movement
first 28→28no change
  1. First seen28
    Oct 26, 09:41 PM
Map stats
Ancient
12 maps
Kills
14.7
KPR
0.63
HS%
28.4%
K/D
1.02
Inferno
10 maps
Kills
13.8
KPR
0.72
HS%
36.2%
K/D
1.29
Dust2
8 maps
Kills
14.8
KPR
0.68
HS%
30.5%
K/D
0.99
Nuke
5 maps
Kills
17.2
KPR
0.66
HS%
30.2%
K/D
1.06
Cache
3 maps
Kills
16
KPR
0.76
HS%
20.8%
K/D
1.3
Anubis
2 maps
Kills
14
KPR
0.65
HS%
10.7%
K/D
0.9
Recent Maps 1-2 results
DateOppMap 1Map 2TotalTeamPropFlags
2026-10-26Ground Zero14 Ancient 13-1114 Anubis 13-828WUnder ✗
2026-10-23Rare Atom18 Dust2 10-1314 Ancient 11-1332LOver ✓
2026-10-22Morningstar12 Dust2 13-613 Ancient 13-725WUnder ✗
2026-10-21Chinggis Warriors3 Inferno 1-1310 Cache 13-1013SplitUnder ✗BO
2026-10-20Vitalem Aerem9 Dust2 5-1318 Inferno 13-1027SplitUnder ✗BO
2026-10-18FlyQuest7 Ancient 13-711 Dust2 6-1318SplitUnder ✗
2026-10-18Off Chops30 Dust2 19-1711 Inferno 13-941WOver ✓OT
2026-10-17FlyQuest22 Ancient 16-149 Dust2 2-1331SplitOver ✓OTBO
2026-10-15Rooster14 Anubis 13-915 Inferno 13-429WOver ✓BO
2026-10-15Mindfreak18 Cache 13-716 Inferno 13-534WOver ✓BO
2026-10-11Chinggis Warriors15 Nuke 13-912 Ancient 7-1327SplitUnder ✗
2026-10-105star14 Ancient 13-516 Inferno 12-1630SplitOver ✓OTBO
2026-10-08The Huns15 Ancient 13-1015 Inferno 13-530WOver ✓BO
2026-09-29Lynn Vision17 Ancient 11-1312 Nuke 13-1129SplitOver ✓
2026-09-28The Huns31 Nuke 22-2010 Ancient 13-1141WOver ✓OT
2026-09-27Lynn Vision13 Ancient 14-166 Nuke 5-1319LUnder ✗OTBO
2026-09-25Legion16 Dust2 13-615 Inferno 13-731WOver ✓
2026-09-23Just Swing20 Cache 7-1313 Inferno 13-433SplitOver ✓BO
2026-09-22bLight blue13 Dust2 13-1116 Inferno 13-329WOver ✓BO
2026-09-03Chinggis Warriors22 Nuke 11-1325 Ancient 10-1347LOver ✓
CS2 Lab is 21+

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