KillsRisk
Line
30.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
31.89
Hit
48.6%
EV+
-15.8%
Edge
+1.4
L10
60%
HeadshotsBetter playRisk
Line
19.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
20.95
Hit
51.3%
EV+
-11.2%
Edge
+1.4
L10
60%
Rifler
jks
FlyQuest vs Staqued
RISK · OVER 30.5
≈ L5 30.8 · L20 31.9
Hit rates at 30.5 (Over)
L5
40%
2/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
53%
10/19
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Low
Previous meeting · vs Staqued
No meeting with Staqued in his last 19 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
30.1
4/10 hit at 30.5
Online
33.9
6/9 hit at 30.5
Avg kills on Maps 1-2.
Late checks & sources
- Veto confirmed — re-check map order
- Confirm jks is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at —
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 95.2%
prizepicks · Kills · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 31+ kills: across ~39 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (75.2%) or blowout (47.6%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
31.89
Raw edge
+1.4
Cons. hit
48.6%
EV+
-15.8%
Exp. rounds
39.2
Line
30.5
Verdict
Risk
Same-line track record · Over 28.5-32.5
All players · Kills
49.8%584 picks
This player
0%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 32.1 kills vs line 30.5 (6/10 over). Next: vs Staqued, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 32.1 against a 30.5 line
Biggest risk: 36% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
- 36% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 31.89 vs line 30.5 → +1.39 (4.6%)
- • Form L5 40% · L10 60% over this line
- • Expected 39.2 rounds · 2-0 75.2% · OT 10.5%
Performance (last 38 maps)
Kills/Map
15.95
HS/Map
10.47
K/D
1.41
ADR
88.4
KAST
81.2%
Multi-kill
19.4%
Kills projection
Match context
Oct 26, 10:00 PM CTLANDFRAG Invitational 2026
Win chance source: Polymarket 95.2%
M1 Ancient
19.4r
M2 Inferno
19.8r
Total
39.2r
2-0 sweep75.2%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)19.1%
Overtime10.5%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)47.6%
2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way. Sweep from win chance + his team's 2-0 rate + opponent's 2-0 rate + market. Rounds & blowout from 38 his-team maps + 4 opponent maps + 0 past-meeting maps.
Veto confirmed (HLTV): Ancient / Inferno
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 30.5 (Over) · avg 32.1 · hit 6/10 · tap a bar
30.5
Line movement
first 30.5→offno change
- Pulled30.5Oct 26, 10:02 PM
- Back on board30.5 → 30.5Oct 26, 10:01 PM
- Pulled30.5Oct 26, 10:00 PM
- First seen30.5Oct 26, 10:58 AM
Map stats
Dust2
11 maps
Kills
14
K/D
1.18
Anubis
9 maps
Kills
18.3
K/D
1.49
Inferno
9 maps
Kills
17.4
K/D
1.65
Ancient
4 maps
Kills
17.2
K/D
1.25
Cache
3 maps
Kills
13.7
K/D
1.86
Nuke
2 maps
Kills
10
K/D
1.25
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | NEXVOID | 18 Ancient 7-13 | 10 Dust2 13-6 | 28 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-17 | NEXVOID | 17 Ancient 14-16 | 19 Dust2 13-2 | 36 | Split | Over ✓ | OTBO |
| 2026-10-17 | Rooster | 19 Anubis 13-1 | 11 Inferno 13-6 | 30 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-16 | Abyssal | 12 Cache 13-8 | 15 Inferno 13-9 | 27 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-10-16 | Off Chops | 10 Dust2 13-10 | 23 Inferno 19-16 | 33 | W | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-11 | Abyssal | 11 Dust2 13-6 | 21 Inferno 13-8 | 32 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-11 | Ground Zero | 19 Anubis 13-10 | 21 Inferno 13-10 | 40 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-10 | Abyssal | 13 Dust2 13-4 | 17 Inferno 13-8 | 30 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-29 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 16 Inferno 13-4 | 18 Dust2 13-9 | 34 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-27 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 13 Inferno 13-2 | 18 Ancient 13-4 | 31 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-25 | Rooster | 19 Anubis 13-8 | 8 Nuke 13-3 | 27 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-23 | LFO 8 | 14 Cache 13-3 | 14 Dust2 13-4 | 28 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-03 | Rare Atom | 28 Dust2 19-17 | 19 Anubis 10-13 | 47 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-03 | DEPO | 13 Anubis 13-6 | 16 Ancient 13-9 | 29 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-03 | Kaleido | 15 Cache 13-5 | 26 Anubis 13-4 | 41 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-02 | Rare Atom | 13 Dust2 6-13 | 23 Anubis 16-14 | 36 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-02 | NEXVOID | 20 Inferno 13-7 | 12 Anubis 13-11 | 32 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-07-19 | Ground Zero | 6 Dust2 13-6 | 15 Anubis 13-5 | 21 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-07-18 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 12 Dust2 13-10 | 12 Nuke 13-1 | 24 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
