CS2 LAB
V1.0
KillsBetter playRisk
Line
32
Pick
OVER
Projection
35.08
Hit
57.2%
EV+
-0.9%
Edge
+3.1
L10
50%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
18
Pick
OVER
Projection
18.67
Hit
50.4%
EV+
-12.7%
Edge
+0.7
L10
50%
dexter
Rifler
dexter
Off Chops vs Ground Zero
50%HIT CHANCE
RISK · OVER 18
PP18
▲ L5 21.4 · L20 16.2Risk · Recent form (L5/L10) leans the other way +1
Hit rates at 18 (Over)
L5
100%
5/5
L10
50%
5/10
L20
37%
7/19
H2H
100%
1/1
Volatility
Medium
±4.27
Previous meeting · vs Ground Zero
1/1 hit · avg 22 headshots on Maps 1-2
2026-10-16 · Logitech G Pro Series 2026
Dust2 13-6 · Anubis 11-13 · Split
22
Over 18 ✓
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
17.5
7/13 hit at 18
Online
13.3
0/6 hit at 18
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2. The learned hit % now leans toward his form in this setting.
Late checks & sources
  • Map veto (currently estimated)
  • Confirm dexter is in the starting five
  • Re-check line: PASS at 18
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 73.5%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
prizepicks · Headshots · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 19+ HS (~34 kills at 55.2% HS): 0.801 KPR over ~41 rounds. His Kills line is 32: backing Kills Over needs ~2 fewer kills, usually the easier play. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (65.2%) or blowout (39.6%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
18.67
Raw edge
+0.7
Cons. hit
50.4%
EV+
-12.7%
Rating
1/10
Exp. rounds
40.7
Line
18
Verdict
Risk
Plain model
50.4%
0 →
Learned
50.4%
learning 0x
Same-line track record · Over 16-20
All players · Headshots
56.8%199 picks
This player
—0 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
raw 47.5% → −8% haircut · cap 74% · per-leg 1.732x · threshold ±2 (pref ±2.5)
  • Edge +0.7 below ±2.0 minimum
  • Recent form (L5/L10) does not lean the same way
  • EV+ not positive at current payout
  • L10 hit rate ≥ 60%: L10 50.0% at this line
  • L20 hit rate ≥ 55%: L20 36.8% at this line
  • Game script fits: blowout 40% (under 40%)
  • Blowout win risk — team 81% to win. A 13-3 stomp means fewer rounds to farm kills; still playable.
Sharp checks · 3/6
Big enough sample · 19 recent series (need 8+)
L10 hit rate ≥ 60% · L10 50.0% at this line
L20 hit rate ≥ 55% · L20 36.8% at this line
Game script fits · blowout 40% (under 40%)
Standard line · Standard payout line
Bo3 series · Maps 1-2 guaranteed
Projection = 70% model (16.6) + 30% last-5 average
Evidence & risk

Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 17.4 headshots vs line 18.0 (5/10 over). KPR 0.74, HS 55%. Next: vs Ground Zero, LAN.

Strongest: L10 average 17.4 against a 18.0 line

  • 34% of recent maps were blowouts (13-5 or worse)
  • Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
  • • Model 18.67 vs line 18 → +0.67 (3.7%)
  • • Form L5 100% · L10 50% over this line
  • • Heavy favourite (≥70%) → −1.5 rounds/map (learned from 11 real matches) · kill rate +8% KPR
  • • Expected 40.7 rounds · 2-0 65.2% · OT 10.5%
Performance (last 38 maps)
Kills/Map
14.68
HS/Map
8.11
K/D
0.98
KPR
0.74
ADR
84
KAST
71.9%
HS%
55.2%
Multi-kill
18.5%
Kills projection
Map 1 (Dust2)9 · KPR 0.77 · 21.6r
Map 2 (Inferno)7.6 · KPR 0.731 · 19.1r
Required KPR to clear0.801
Base kills (Maps 1-2)30.6
Sweep / blowout / OT adj.-1.72%
Final projected kills30.07
× realistic HS% (55.2%)18.67
Ground Zero gives up (5 series)+5.4% vs norm
Likely HS totals · Maps 1-2
Bars in colour cash the Over 18. Model: 47.5% before the safety haircut.
6789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536line 18
Lopsided maps39.6%
~16 HS · 34r23.9%
Normal36.9%
~20 HS · 44r63.1%
Close maps13%
~20 HS · 44r61.6%
Overtime10.5%
~23 HS · 50r80.7%
Match context
Oct 26, 03:00 AMLANDFRAG Invitational 2026
HLTV #142VRS #134HLTV #143VRS #132
Off Chops 81%19% Ground Zero
Win chance source: Polymarket 80.5% · live
Heavy favourite (≥70%) → −1.5 rounds/map (learned from 11 real matches) · kill rate +8% KPR
Heads upBlowout win risk — team 81% to win. A 13-3 stomp means fewer rounds to farm kills; still playable.
M1 Dust2
21.6r
-3% KPR here
M2 Inferno
19.1r
-8% KPR here
Total
40.7r
2-0 sweep65.2%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)23.5%
Overtime10.5%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)39.6%

2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way.

Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Dust2 / Inferno

Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 18 (Over) · avg 17.4 · hit 5/10 · tap a bar
18
Nearby lines
16 Over60.7%
17 Over55.8%below BE
18 Over50.4%OFFERED
19 Over45.1%below BE
20 Over40.1%below BE
Break-even per leg: 57.7%
Becomes a PASS at: 18
Line movement
first 18→18no change
  1. First seen18
    Oct 24, 06:46 PM
Map stats
Dust2
13 maps
Kills
16.6
KPR
0.71
HS%
55.6%
K/D
1.06
Inferno
8 maps
Kills
13.2
KPR
0.65
HS%
60.4%
K/D
0.91
Anubis
7 maps
Kills
14.4
KPR
0.71
HS%
43.6%
K/D
1
Nuke
6 maps
Kills
12.7
KPR
0.67
HS%
61.8%
K/D
0.87
Ancient
3 maps
Kills
13.7
KPR
0.65
HS%
53.7%
K/D
0.79
Cache
1 maps
Kills
18
KPR
1.2
HS%
61.1%
K/D
2.57
Recent Maps 1-2 results
DateOppMap 1Map 2TotalTeamPropFlags
2026-10-18NEXVOID13 Dust2 17-199 Inferno 9-1322LOver ✓OT
2026-10-17Rooster10 Nuke 13-711 Cache 13-221WOver ✓BO
2026-10-16Abyssal13 Dust2 13-79 Inferno 13-322WOver ✓BO
2026-10-16Ground Zero15 Dust2 13-67 Anubis 11-1322SplitOver ✓
2026-10-16FlyQuest10 Dust2 10-1310 Inferno 16-1920LOver ✓OT
2026-09-29FlyQuest6 Inferno 4-134 Dust2 9-1310LUnder ✗BO
2026-09-28THUNDER dOWNUNDER10 Inferno 13-84 Dust2 13-914WUnder ✗
2026-09-27FlyQuest5 Inferno 2-138 Ancient 4-1313LUnder ✗BO
2026-09-25THUNDER dOWNUNDER8 Ancient 13-46 Dust2 13-314WUnder ✗BO
2026-09-23THUNDER dOWNUNDER8 Nuke 13-78 Inferno 13-716WUnder ✗
2026-07-18THUNDER dOWNUNDER11 Dust2 13-813 Anubis 10-1324SplitOver ✓
2026-07-18FlyQuest6 Dust2 10-135 Nuke 1-1311LUnder ✗BO
2026-07-18THUNDER dOWNUNDER10 Dust2 13-106 Anubis 13-716WUnder ✗
2026-07-17Rooster10 Nuke 13-03 Anubis 13-413WUnder ✗BO
2026-06-04THUNDER dOWNUNDER4 Anubis 10-137 Inferno 3-1311LUnder ✗BO
2026-05-27SemperFi5 Dust2 9-138 Nuke 10-1313LUnder ✗
2026-05-16Lynn Vision9 Dust2 13-96 Nuke 10-1315SplitUnder ✗
2026-05-14Kaleido5 Anubis 13-56 Ancient 13-1611SplitUnder ✗OTBO
2026-05-13THUNDER dOWNUNDER6 Anubis 13-514 Dust2 17-1920SplitOver ✓OTBO
CS2 Lab is 21+

Stats and analysis for CS2 props — not betting advice and no guarantee of results. Only play where it's legal, and never more than you can afford to lose.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

We'd like to record anonymous sessions (clicks and page views, no names) to fix bugs. You choose — see Privacy.

Install CS2 Lab
Full screen, one tap from your home screen, live alerts