KillsBetter playRisk
Line
27.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
26.94
Hit
52.1%
EV+
-2.5%
Edge
-0.6
L10
70%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
16.5
Pick
UNDER
Projection
16.22
Hit
49.9%
EV+
-6.6%
Edge
-0.3
L10
60%
Rifler
venomzera
Made in Brazil vs Inner Circle Esports
RISK · UNDER 16.5
BEST UNDER · PP 17.5PP17.5UD16.5
▲ L5 18.2 · L20 17.4LAN UNDER · 52% hit
Hit rates at 16.5 (Under)
L5
60%
3/5
L10
60%
6/10
L20
45%
9/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Medium
Previous meeting · vs Inner Circle Esports
No meeting with Inner Circle Esports in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
16.7
8/16 hit at 16.5
Online
20
1/4 hit at 16.5
Avg headshots on Maps 1-2.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm venomzera is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at —
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 60.5%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
underdog · Headshots · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Stays under with 16 HS or fewer: across ~44 rounds. Main danger: overtime (14.4%) or long close maps add rounds.
Side
Under
Projection
16.22
Raw edge
-0.3
Cons. hit
49.9%
EV+
-6.6%
Exp. rounds
44
Line
16.5
Verdict
Risk
Same-line track record · Under 14.5-18.5
All players · Headshots
47.8%563 picks
This player
0%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 16.3 headshots vs line 16.5 (4/10 over). Next: vs Inner Circle, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 16.3 against a 16.5 line
Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
MIXED
The call
PASS
Value
NO VALUE
- • Model 16.22 vs line 16.5 → -0.28 (-1.7%)
- • Form L5 60% · L10 60% under this line
- • Expected 44 rounds · 2-0 55.7% · OT 14.4%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
14.4
HS/Map
8.68
K/D
0.96
ADR
68.1
KAST
70%
Multi-kill
14.4%
Kills projection
Inner Circle Esports gives up (83 series)-3.7% vs norm
Match context
Oct 28, 1:30 PM CTLANStake Ranked Episode 5
Win chance source: Polymarket 60.5%
M1 Ancient
22.8r
M2 Mirage
21.3r
Total
44r
2-0 sweep55.7%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)30.8%
Overtime14.4%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)20.1%
2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way. Sweep from win chance + his team's 2-0 rate + opponent's 2-0 rate + market. Rounds & blowout from 40 his-team maps + 20 opponent maps + 0 past-meeting maps.
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Ancient / Mirage
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 16.5 (Under) · avg 16.3 · hit 6/10 · tap a bar
16.5
Line movement
first 16.5→16.5no change
- First seen16.5Oct 27, 08:04 PM
Map stats
Ancient
9 maps
Kills
14.3
K/D
0.9
Mirage
9 maps
Kills
12.9
K/D
0.93
Cache
7 maps
Kills
14.4
K/D
0.88
Nuke
7 maps
Kills
15.6
K/D
1.06
Inferno
6 maps
Kills
12.8
K/D
0.93
Anubis
2 maps
Kills
22
K/D
1.38
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Eternal Fire | 10 Ancient 10-13 | 13 Mirage 13-10 | 23 | Split | Over ✗ | |
| 2026-10-17 | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3 Mirage 2-13 | 22 Cache 19-17 | 25 | Split | Over ✗ | OTBO |
| 2026-10-17 | 100 Thieves | 10 Nuke 13-8 | 5 Mirage 13-10 | 15 | W | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-10-16 | Astralis | 7 Inferno 8-13 | 7 Cache 16-14 | 14 | Split | Under ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-15 | BC.Game | 10 Mirage 13-5 | 4 Ancient 7-13 | 14 | Split | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-15 | Envy | 15 Anubis 13-7 | 6 Ancient 13-5 | 21 | W | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-15 | BC.Game | 9 Cache 12-16 | 5 Ancient 13-10 | 14 | Split | Under ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-19 | FURIA | 6 Mirage 8-13 | 11 Nuke 11-13 | 17 | L | Over ✗ | |
| 2026-09-19 | NRG | 6 Cache 13-7 | 5 Inferno 13-2 | 11 | W | Under ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-18 | magic | 6 Ancient 13-8 | 3 Mirage 11-13 | 9 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-17 | FURIA | 11 Inferno 13-11 | 7 Nuke 6-13 | 18 | Split | Over ✗ | |
| 2026-09-12 | Legacy | 9 Nuke 10-13 | 4 Ancient 13-11 | 13 | Split | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-11 | Alliance | 11 Inferno 13-4 | 8 Cache 13-9 | 19 | W | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-10 | BetBoom | 16 Mirage 9-13 | 4 Anubis 14-16 | 20 | L | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2026-09-09 | 9z | 8 Mirage 13-6 | 8 Nuke 13-7 | 16 | W | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-08 | The MongolZ | 11 Ancient 5-13 | 7 Mirage 13-10 | 18 | Split | Over ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-03 | K27 | 5 Cache 6-13 | 9 Nuke 6-13 | 14 | L | Under ✓ | |
| 2026-09-03 | EYEBALLERS | 14 Ancient 16-14 | 4 Inferno 13-8 | 18 | W | Over ✗ | OT |
| 2026-09-02 | 3DMAX | 3 Cache 13-8 | 18 Nuke 13-6 | 21 | W | Over ✗ | |
| 2026-09-02 | Eternal Fire | 16 Ancient 16-19 | 11 Inferno 13-8 | 27 | Split | Over ✗ | OT |
