KillsBetter playRisk
Line
24.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
25.64
Hit
55.1%
EV+
+3.1%
Edge
+1.1
L10
80%
HeadshotsRisk
Line
13.5
Pick
OVER
Projection
13.9
Hit
47.6%
EV+
-11.0%
Edge
+0.4
L10
50%
Rifler · IGL
LNZ
Made in Brazil vs Inner Circle Esports
RISK · OVER 24.5
BEST OVER · UD 24.5PP25.5UD24.5
≈ L5 26.2 · L20 26.3
Hit rates at 24.5 (Over)
L5
80%
4/5
L10
80%
8/10
L20
65%
13/20
H2H
N/A
Volatility
Low
Previous meeting · vs Inner Circle Esports
No meeting with Inner Circle Esports in his last 20 series.
LAN vs online form
LAN · this match
26.4
12/16 hit at 24.5
Online
25.8
1/4 hit at 24.5
Avg kills on Maps 1-2.
Late checks & sources
- Map veto (currently estimated)
- Confirm LNZ is in the starting five
- Re-check line: PASS at —
bo3.gg per-map player statsbo3.gg match scheduleWin chance: Polymarket 60.5%
Unverified / missing: Maps 1-2 not confirmed
underdog · Kills · Maps 1-2Risk
What to watch · Needs 25+ kills: across ~44 rounds. Main danger: a fast 2-0 (55.7%) or blowout (20.1%) cuts rounds.
Side
Over
Projection
25.64
Raw edge
+1.1
Cons. hit
55.1%
EV+
+3.1%
Exp. rounds
44
Line
24.5
Verdict
Risk
Same-line track record · Over 22.5-26.5
All players · Kills
54.9%275 picks
This player
100%1 picks
Green = above the 57.7% a 2-pick needs. Graded picks only, pushes left out.
Evidence & risk
Last 10 series Maps 1-2: avg 27.4 kills vs line 24.5 (8/10 over). Next: vs Inner Circle, LAN.
Strongest: L10 average 27.4 against a 24.5 line
Biggest risk: Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
- Map veto not confirmed — Maps 1-2 estimated from recent map frequency
The read
Signal
ALIGNED
The call
PASS
Value
THIN
- • Model 25.64 vs line 24.5 → +1.14 (4.7%)
- • Form L5 80% · L10 80% over this line
- • Expected 44 rounds · 2-0 55.7% · OT 14.4%
Performance (last 40 maps)
Kills/Map
13.15
HS/Map
7.12
K/D
0.89
ADR
69.9
KAST
73.6%
Multi-kill
14.6%
Kills projection
Inner Circle Esports gives up (83 series)-2.8% vs norm
Match context
Oct 28, 1:30 PM CTLANStake Ranked Episode 5
Win chance source: Polymarket 60.5%
M1 Ancient
22.8r
M2 Mirage
21.3r
Total
44r
2-0 sweep55.7%
Long Map 2 (24+ rounds)30.8%
Overtime14.4%
Blowout (13-5 or worse)20.1%
2-0 sweep is info only — Maps 1-2 are played either way. Sweep from win chance + his team's 2-0 rate + opponent's 2-0 rate + market. Rounds & blowout from 40 his-team maps + 20 opponent maps + 0 past-meeting maps.
Likely maps from his team's recent map frequency: Ancient / Mirage
Recent Maps 1-2 form
10 series · line 24.5 (Over) · avg 27.4 · hit 8/10 · tap a bar
24.5
Line movement
first 24.5→24.5no change
- First seen24.5Oct 27, 08:04 PM
Map stats
Ancient
9 maps
Kills
14.1
K/D
0.9
Mirage
9 maps
Kills
11.4
K/D
0.82
Cache
7 maps
Kills
15.7
K/D
0.95
Nuke
7 maps
Kills
13.3
K/D
0.93
Inferno
6 maps
Kills
10.8
K/D
0.89
Anubis
2 maps
Kills
14
K/D
0.78
Recent Maps 1-2 results
| Date | Opp | Map 1 | Map 2 | Total | Team | Prop | Flags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | Eternal Fire | 14 Ancient 10-13 | 16 Mirage 13-10 | 30 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-17 | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 5 Mirage 2-13 | 14 Cache 19-17 | 19 | Split | Under ✗ | OTBO |
| 2026-10-17 | 100 Thieves | 13 Nuke 13-8 | 16 Mirage 13-10 | 29 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-10-16 | Astralis | 9 Inferno 8-13 | 18 Cache 16-14 | 27 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-10-15 | BC.Game | 12 Mirage 13-5 | 14 Ancient 7-13 | 26 | Split | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-10-15 | Envy | 11 Anubis 13-7 | 12 Ancient 13-5 | 23 | W | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-10-15 | BC.Game | 21 Cache 12-16 | 18 Ancient 13-10 | 39 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-19 | FURIA | 10 Mirage 8-13 | 16 Nuke 11-13 | 26 | L | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-19 | NRG | 20 Cache 13-7 | 8 Inferno 13-2 | 28 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-18 | magic | 13 Ancient 13-8 | 14 Mirage 11-13 | 27 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-17 | FURIA | 9 Inferno 13-11 | 9 Nuke 6-13 | 18 | Split | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-12 | Legacy | 17 Nuke 10-13 | 14 Ancient 13-11 | 31 | Split | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-11 | Alliance | 12 Inferno 13-4 | 17 Cache 13-9 | 29 | W | Over ✓ | BO |
| 2026-09-10 | BetBoom | 8 Mirage 9-13 | 17 Anubis 14-16 | 25 | L | Over ✓ | OT |
| 2026-09-09 | 9z | 10 Mirage 13-6 | 15 Nuke 13-7 | 25 | W | Over ✓ | |
| 2026-09-08 | The MongolZ | 9 Ancient 5-13 | 12 Mirage 13-10 | 21 | Split | Under ✗ | BO |
| 2026-09-03 | K27 | 10 Cache 6-13 | 11 Nuke 6-13 | 21 | L | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-03 | EYEBALLERS | 14 Ancient 16-14 | 7 Inferno 13-8 | 21 | W | Under ✗ | OT |
| 2026-09-02 | 3DMAX | 10 Cache 13-8 | 12 Nuke 13-6 | 22 | W | Under ✗ | |
| 2026-09-02 | Eternal Fire | 19 Ancient 16-19 | 20 Inferno 13-8 | 39 | Split | Over ✓ | OT |
